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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airline Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Airline Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Airline Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

Technologies & Software

  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Microsoft Office software
  • DeepSeek
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Navzilla
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • AeroPlanner
  • Grok (xAI)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • IFT-Pro
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • Mobileye AI
  • R
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Gatik AI
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Gemini (Google)
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Fuel control systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Point plotters
  • Control wheels
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Rudder pedals
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Control display units CDU
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Notebook computers
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Flaps control levers
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Autopilot systems
  • Electric trim switches
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Flight database systems
  • Brake pedals
  • Brake management systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Data load selectors