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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airline Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Airline Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Airline Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

Technologies & Software

  • Mobileye AI
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Microsoft Word
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • IFT-Pro
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • R
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • AeroPlanner
  • Gatik AI
  • Navzilla
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Visio
  • DeepSeek
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Autopilot systems
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Flaps control levers
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Autobrakes
  • Electric trim switches
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Control wheels
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Pressurization control systems
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Rudder pedals
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Brake management systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Notebook computers
  • Data load selectors
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Flight database systems
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Brake pedals
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Control display units CDU
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Point plotters
  • Windscreen ice control systems