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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Military Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Military Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Military Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Navzilla
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Microsoft Word
  • Llama (Meta)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • IFT-Pro
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • R
  • AeroPlanner
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Mobileye AI
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • DeepSeek
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Gatik AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Flight database systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Control display units CDU
  • Fuel control systems
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Electric trim switches
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Control wheels
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Flaps control levers
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Data load selectors
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Desktop computers
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Notebook computers
  • Autobrakes
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Brake pedals
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Rudder pedals
  • Point plotters
  • Brake management systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Autopilot systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems