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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Military Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Military Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Military Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

Technologies & Software

  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • IFT-Pro
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Gatik AI
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • AeroPlanner
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Navzilla
  • R
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Rudder pedals
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Brake management systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Notebook computers
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Flaps control levers
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Control display units CDU
  • Data load selectors
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Control wheels
  • Autobrakes
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Brake pedals
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Flight database systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Desktop computers
  • Autopilot systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Electric trim switches
  • Point plotters
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers