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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “First Officer Pilot (FO Pilot)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“First Officer Pilot (FO Pilot)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“First Officer Pilot (FO Pilot)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

Technologies & Software

  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Gemini (Google)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Navzilla
  • Microsoft Word
  • IFT-Pro
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Gatik AI
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • R
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Microsoft Visio
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • DeepSeek
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • AeroPlanner
  • Brake management systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Control display units CDU
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Flight database systems
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Rudder pedals
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Desktop computers
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Brake pedals
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Flaps control levers
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Notebook computers
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Autopilot systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Data load selectors
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Control wheels
  • Autobrakes
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Point plotters
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Electric trim switches
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems