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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “First Officer Pilot (FO Pilot)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“First Officer Pilot (FO Pilot)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“First Officer Pilot (FO Pilot)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

Technologies & Software

  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • DeepSeek
  • Navzilla
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Llama (Meta)
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • R
  • Mobileye AI
  • AeroPlanner
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Gatik AI
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Visio
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • IFT-Pro
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Flight database systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Brake management systems
  • Rudder pedals
  • Autobrakes
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Data load selectors
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Notebook computers
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Brake pedals
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Control wheels
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Flaps control levers
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Electric trim switches
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Desktop computers
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Point plotters
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Control display units CDU
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems