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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “First Officer Pilot (FO Pilot)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“First Officer Pilot (FO Pilot)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“First Officer Pilot (FO Pilot)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

Technologies & Software

  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Gatik AI
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • AeroPlanner
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • DeepSeek
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Navzilla
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • IFT-Pro
  • Mobileye AI
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • Microsoft Word
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • R
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Flight database systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Control display units CDU
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Brake management systems
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Fuel control systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Point plotters
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Autopilot systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Notebook computers
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Brake pedals
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Data load selectors
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Control wheels
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Flaps control levers
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Rudder pedals
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Electric trim switches