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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Line Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Line Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Line Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Excel
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Navzilla
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Microsoft Word
  • AeroPlanner
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Mobileye AI
  • DeepSeek
  • R
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Microsoft Visio
  • IFT-Pro
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Grok (xAI)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • Gatik AI
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Brake management systems
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Control wheels
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Flight database systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Control display units CDU
  • Electric trim switches
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Point plotters
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Rudder pedals
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Flaps control levers
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Data load selectors
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Brake pedals
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Notebook computers
  • Fuel control systems
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Autobrakes
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Microwave landing systems MLS