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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Jet Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Jet Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Jet Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

Technologies & Software

  • Tesla Autopilot
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • AeroPlanner
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • DeepSeek
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • IFT-Pro
  • Navzilla
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Microsoft Word
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • R
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Rudder pedals
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Electric trim switches
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Brake pedals
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Control display units CDU
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Flight database systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Point plotters
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Brake management systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Flaps control levers
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Data load selectors
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Fuel control systems
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Autopilot systems
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Control wheels
  • Desktop computers
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Notebook computers
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS