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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Jet Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Jet Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Jet Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

Technologies & Software

  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • R
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Word
  • IFT-Pro
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Llama (Meta)
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Gatik AI
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Microsoft Excel
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • DeepSeek
  • AeroPlanner
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Navzilla
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Desktop computers
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Fuel control systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Brake pedals
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Point plotters
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Control display units CDU
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Notebook computers
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Control wheels
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Flight database systems
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Data load selectors
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Flaps control levers
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Rudder pedals
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Electric trim switches
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Brake management systems
  • Autobrakes