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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airplane Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Office software
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • DeepSeek
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Visio
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • AeroPlanner
  • Mobileye AI
  • Navzilla
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Gatik AI
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • IFT-Pro
  • R
  • Microsoft Word
  • Flaps control levers
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Brake management systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Rudder pedals
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Control display units CDU
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Flight database systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Data load selectors
  • Desktop computers
  • Control wheels
  • Point plotters
  • Notebook computers
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Brake pedals
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Electric trim switches
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Anti-skid control systems