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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airplane Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #204 of 702. Estimated risk: 18.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $280,570
Available Jobs (US) 99,300
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers #53-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Work as part of a flight team with other crew members, especially during takeoffs and landings.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Steer aircraft along planned routes, using autopilot and flight management computers.

  • Respond to and report in-flight emergencies and malfunctions.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Brief crews about flight details, such as destinations, duties, and responsibilities.

  • Record in log books information, such as flight times, distances flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations and the principles of flight.

  • Check passenger and cargo distributions and fuel amounts to ensure that weight and balance specifications are met.

  • Make announcements regarding flights, using public address systems.

  • Perform minor maintenance work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Evaluate other pilots or pilot-license applicants for proficiency.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Use instrumentation to guide flights when visibility is poor.

  • Monitor gauges, warning devices, and control panels to verify aircraft performance and to regulate engine speed.

  • Confer with flight dispatchers and weather forecasters to keep abreast of flight conditions.

  • Inspect aircraft for defects and malfunctions, according to pre-flight checklists.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Direct activities of aircraft crews during flights.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight, adhering to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control to ensure that flights are coordinated with other air traffic.

Technologies & Software

  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • DeepSeek
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • CoPilot Flight Planning & E6B
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Visio
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • IFT-Pro
  • Gatik AI
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • R
  • Gemini (Google)
  • AeroPlanner
  • Navzilla
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Microsoft Word
  • Mobileye AI
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Document Object Model DOM Scripting
  • Flaps control levers
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Control wheels
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Rudder trim knobs
  • High-frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Hydraulic actuators
  • Landing gear control systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Control display units CDU
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Pressure demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Aileron trim switches
  • Brake pedals
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Point plotters
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Hydraulic control systems
  • Satellite-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Hydraulic pressure regulators
  • Pneumatics systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Data load selectors
  • Brake management systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Very high frequency VHF direction finders
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Diluter demand emergency oxygen systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Engine anti-ice systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Nosewheel steering systems
  • Rudder pedals
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS glideslope receivers
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Attitude heading reference systems AHRS
  • Notebook computers
  • Aircraft data loaders
  • Desktop computers
  • Long range navigation LORAN-C systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Flight database systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Fire extinguishers
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Pressurization control systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Autopilot systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Manual trim wheels
  • Radio frequency-based navigation and guidance systems
  • Electric trim switches
  • Anti-skid control systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS