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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “CDL Truck Driver (Commercial Driver's License Truck Driver)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #431 of 702. Estimated risk: 79.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

47%

“CDL Truck Driver (Commercial Driver's License Truck Driver)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 47% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

56%

“CDL Truck Driver (Commercial Driver's License Truck Driver)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 56% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

Avg. Annual Salary $58,400
Avg. Hourly Wage $28.08
Available Jobs (US) 2,070,480
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers #53-3032
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Read bills of lading to determine assignment details.

  • Load or unload trucks or help others with loading or unloading, using special loading-related equipment or other equipment as necessary.

  • Wrap and secure goods using pads, packing paper, containers, or straps.

  • Follow special cargo-related procedures, such as checking refrigeration systems for frozen foods or providing food or water for livestock.

  • Report vehicle defects, accidents, traffic violations, or damage to the vehicles.

  • Install or remove special equipment, such as tire chains, grader blades, plow blades, or sanders.

  • Check vehicles to ensure that mechanical, safety, and emergency equipment is in good working order.

  • Inspect loads to ensure that cargo is secure.

  • Read and interpret maps to determine vehicle routes.

  • Collect delivery instructions from appropriate sources, verifying instructions and routes.

  • Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.

  • Drive trucks to weigh stations before and after loading and along routes in compliance with state regulations.

  • Perform basic vehicle maintenance tasks, such as adding oil, fuel, or radiator fluid, performing minor repairs, or washing trucks.

  • Maneuver trucks into loading or unloading positions, following signals from loading crew and checking that vehicle and loading equipment are properly positioned.

  • Give directions to laborers who are packing goods and moving them onto trailers.

  • Plan or adjust routes based on changing conditions, using computer equipment, global positioning systems (GPS) equipment, or other navigation devices, to minimize fuel consumption and carbon emissions.

  • Perform emergency roadside repairs, such as changing tires or installing light bulbs, tire chains, or spark plugs.

  • Follow appropriate safety procedures for transporting dangerous goods.

  • Operate idle reduction systems or auxiliary power systems to generate power from alternative sources, such as fuel cells, to reduce idling time, to heat or cool truck cabins, or to provide power for other equipment.

  • Check all load-related documentation for completeness and accuracy.

  • Secure cargo for transport, using ropes, blocks, chain, binders, or covers.

  • Remove debris from loaded trailers.

  • Couple or uncouple trailers by changing trailer jack positions, connecting or disconnecting air or electrical lines, or manipulating fifth-wheel locks.

  • Crank trailer landing gear up or down to safely secure vehicles.

  • Check conditions of trailers after contents have been unloaded to ensure that there has been no damage.

  • Inventory and inspect goods to be moved to determine quantities and conditions.

  • Operate equipment, such as truck cab computers, CB radios, phones, or global positioning systems (GPS) equipment to exchange necessary information with bases, supervisors, or other drivers.

  • Drive trucks with capacities greater than 13 tons, including tractor-trailer combinations, to transport and deliver products, livestock, or other materials.

  • Obtain receipts or signatures for delivered goods and collect payment for services when required.

Technologies & Software

  • Mobileye AI
  • 3M Post-it App
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Inventory tracking software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Fog Line Software Truckn Pro
  • ALK Technologies PC*Miler
  • Evernote
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Computerized inventory tracking software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Eko
  • SAP software
  • YouTube
  • Omnitracs Performance Monitoring
  • TruckersHelper
  • MarcoSoft Quo Vadis
  • ADP ezLaborManager
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • PeopleNet
  • ddlsoftware.com drivers daily log program DDL
  • Cell phones
  • Tilt trailers
  • Laser facsimile machines
  • Satellite linkup systems
  • Scanners
  • Refuse collection trucks
  • Handtrucks
  • Pup trailers
  • Front load dumpsters
  • Order picker clamp trucks
  • Two way radios
  • Manual lifts
  • Air compressors
  • 4-ranger tower trucks
  • Handheld bar code scanners
  • Cargo hoists
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Wheel loaders
  • Three-point hitches
  • Forklifts
  • Blocks and tackle
  • Flatbed trucks
  • Sliding fifth wheels
  • Electric handtrucks
  • Boom trucks
  • On-board computers
  • Notebook computers
  • Plow attachments
  • Lowboy trailers
  • Ready mix trucks
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Handlifts
  • Telescoping boom trucks
  • Sliding tandem axles
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Hydraulic lifts
  • Dump trucks
  • Johnson bars
  • Winches
  • Trucks greater than 26000 pounds

Alternative Job Titles