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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Culinary Chef” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Culinary Chef” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Culinary Chef” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

AI Risk 49%
Robot Risk 49%

Food Servers, Nonrestaurant

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 47%

Fast Food and Counter Workers

AI Risk 46%
Robot Risk 38%

Food Preparation Workers

AI Risk 45%
Robot Risk 42%

Cooks, Private Household

AI Risk 44%
Robot Risk 45%

Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers

AI Risk 43%
Robot Risk 45%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

Technologies & Software

  • GroupMe
  • Internet browser software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Word
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • ReServe Interactive
  • CostGuard
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • Facebook
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • Microsoft Excel
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Toast AI
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Delphi Technology
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • ADP eTIME
  • Menu planning software
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Google Sheets
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Email software
  • Laptop computers
  • Kitchen shears
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Bread slicers
  • Boning knives
  • Woks
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Meat slicers
  • Rice cookers
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Blenders
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Parisian cutters
  • Sieves
  • Pizza ovens
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Grills
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Box graters
  • Griddles
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Gas ovens
  • Portion scales
  • Broilers
  • Desktop computers
  • Strainers
  • Ice-making machines
  • Food shredders
  • Blast chillers
  • Juice dispensers
  • Mixers
  • Rotisserie units
  • Meat grinders
  • Rolling pins
  • Food processors
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Braziers
  • Chefs' knives
  • Toasters
  • Electric stoves
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Food dicers
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Meat thermometers
  • Salamanders
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Bone saws
  • Double boilers
  • Garbage compactors
  • Food smokers
  • Sifters
  • Steam tables
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Juice extractors
  • Melon ballers
  • Oyster knives
  • Pasta machines
  • Gas stoves
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Steam kettles
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Electric ovens
  • Plane graters
  • Mandolines
  • Convection ovens
  • Cream whippers
  • Personal computers
  • Fruit zesters
  • Apple corers
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Slicing machines
  • Paring knives
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Waffle makers
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers

Alternative Job Titles