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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Confectioner” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Confectioner” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Confectioner” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

Technologies & Software

  • CostGuard
  • Facebook
  • Internet browser software
  • ADP eTIME
  • Google Sheets
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • GroupMe
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • Toast AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • ReServe Interactive
  • Delphi Technology
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • Menu planning software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Microsoft Word
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • Email software
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Bone saws
  • Apple corers
  • Electric ovens
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Chefs' knives
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Plane graters
  • Griddles
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Juice dispensers
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Melon ballers
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Woks
  • Laptop computers
  • Steam kettles
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Double boilers
  • Slicing machines
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Garbage compactors
  • Kitchen shears
  • Meat grinders
  • Cream whippers
  • Food smokers
  • Gas ovens
  • Toasters
  • Meat slicers
  • Juice extractors
  • Sifters
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Broilers
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Fruit zesters
  • Food processors
  • Electric stoves
  • Food dicers
  • Bread slicers
  • Gas stoves
  • Food shredders
  • Blast chillers
  • Oyster knives
  • Convection ovens
  • Blenders
  • Grills
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Steam tables
  • Meat thermometers
  • Rolling pins
  • Mandolines
  • Ice-making machines
  • Boning knives
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Desktop computers
  • Pasta machines
  • Rotisserie units
  • Salamanders
  • Sieves
  • Strainers
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Personal computers
  • Pizza ovens
  • Rice cookers
  • Paring knives
  • Parisian cutters
  • Box graters
  • Braziers
  • Portion scales
  • Waffle makers
  • Mixers