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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Baker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Baker” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Baker” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

AI Risk 49%
Robot Risk 49%

Food Servers, Nonrestaurant

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 47%

Fast Food and Counter Workers

AI Risk 46%
Robot Risk 38%

Food Preparation Workers

AI Risk 45%
Robot Risk 42%

Cooks, Private Household

AI Risk 44%
Robot Risk 45%

Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers

AI Risk 43%
Robot Risk 45%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

Technologies & Software

  • Nutrition analysis software
  • ReServe Interactive
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • GroupMe
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Facebook
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • ADP eTIME
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Microsoft Word
  • Delphi Technology
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Menu planning software
  • Google Sheets
  • Email software
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • Internet browser software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Toast AI
  • CostGuard
  • Gas ovens
  • Personal computers
  • Strainers
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Gas stoves
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Steam tables
  • Juice dispensers
  • Meat slicers
  • Slicing machines
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Salamanders
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Steam kettles
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Portion scales
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Rolling pins
  • Food processors
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Rotisserie units
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Pasta machines
  • Mixers
  • Convection ovens
  • Boning knives
  • Sieves
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Desktop computers
  • Meat thermometers
  • Food dicers
  • Juice extractors
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Paring knives
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Blenders
  • Toasters
  • Woks
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Garbage compactors
  • Waffle makers
  • Sifters
  • Plane graters
  • Parisian cutters
  • Double boilers
  • Pizza ovens
  • Chefs' knives
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Apple corers
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Bone saws
  • Kitchen shears
  • Braziers
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Electric ovens
  • Grills
  • Griddles
  • Box graters
  • Mandolines
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Rice cookers
  • Food shredders
  • Food smokers
  • Blast chillers
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Laptop computers
  • Broilers
  • Oyster knives
  • Melon ballers
  • Bread slicers
  • Ice-making machines
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Cream whippers
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Fruit zesters
  • Electric stoves
  • Meat grinders

Alternative Job Titles