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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Baker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Baker” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Baker” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

AI Risk 49%
Robot Risk 49%

Food Servers, Nonrestaurant

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 47%

Fast Food and Counter Workers

AI Risk 46%
Robot Risk 38%

Food Preparation Workers

AI Risk 45%
Robot Risk 42%

Cooks, Private Household

AI Risk 44%
Robot Risk 45%

Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers

AI Risk 43%
Robot Risk 45%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

Technologies & Software

  • ADP eTIME
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • CostGuard
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Email software
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • Delphi Technology
  • GroupMe
  • Toast AI
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • Facebook
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Microsoft Word
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • Google Sheets
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • ReServe Interactive
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Internet browser software
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Menu planning software
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Food shredders
  • Gas stoves
  • Pizza ovens
  • Electric stoves
  • Grills
  • Portion scales
  • Waffle makers
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Laptop computers
  • Toasters
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Cream whippers
  • Sieves
  • Bone saws
  • Blenders
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Convection ovens
  • Salamanders
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Juice dispensers
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Fruit zesters
  • Mandolines
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Steam tables
  • Griddles
  • Rolling pins
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Meat grinders
  • Electric ovens
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Meat thermometers
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Personal computers
  • Broilers
  • Ice-making machines
  • Steam kettles
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Food smokers
  • Meat slicers
  • Paring knives
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Chefs' knives
  • Woks
  • Double boilers
  • Desktop computers
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Gas ovens
  • Bread slicers
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Plane graters
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Box graters
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Braziers
  • Kitchen shears
  • Oyster knives
  • Mixers
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Food processors
  • Rice cookers
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Rotisserie units
  • Slicing machines
  • Strainers
  • Apple corers
  • Juice extractors
  • Food dicers
  • Garbage compactors
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Parisian cutters
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Sifters
  • Melon ballers
  • Boning knives
  • Pasta machines
  • Blast chillers

Alternative Job Titles