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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Head Pastry Chef” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Head Pastry Chef” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Head Pastry Chef” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

AI Risk 49%
Robot Risk 49%

Food Servers, Nonrestaurant

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 47%

Fast Food and Counter Workers

AI Risk 46%
Robot Risk 38%

Food Preparation Workers

AI Risk 45%
Robot Risk 42%

Cooks, Private Household

AI Risk 44%
Robot Risk 45%

Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers

AI Risk 43%
Robot Risk 45%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Toast AI
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • ReServe Interactive
  • Microsoft Word
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Google Sheets
  • GroupMe
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Menu planning software
  • Email software
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • Internet browser software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Delphi Technology
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • ADP eTIME
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Facebook
  • CostGuard
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Chefs' knives
  • Bone saws
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Grills
  • Boning knives
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Rotisserie units
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Fruit zesters
  • Waffle makers
  • Gas stoves
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Box graters
  • Garbage compactors
  • Rolling pins
  • Mixers
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Meat slicers
  • Strainers
  • Mandolines
  • Juice dispensers
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Gas ovens
  • Convection ovens
  • Melon ballers
  • Oyster knives
  • Sifters
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Electric ovens
  • Pizza ovens
  • Blenders
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Portion scales
  • Sieves
  • Meat grinders
  • Paring knives
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Rice cookers
  • Bread slicers
  • Salamanders
  • Food processors
  • Pasta machines
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Meat thermometers
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Laptop computers
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Steam kettles
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Woks
  • Desktop computers
  • Food shredders
  • Plane graters
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Cream whippers
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Food smokers
  • Double boilers
  • Ice-making machines
  • Food dicers
  • Blast chillers
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Toasters
  • Braziers
  • Steam tables
  • Broilers
  • Parisian cutters
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Electric stoves
  • Slicing machines
  • Juice extractors
  • Apple corers
  • Kitchen shears
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Personal computers
  • Griddles

Alternative Job Titles