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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Head Pastry Chef” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Head Pastry Chef” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Head Pastry Chef” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

AI Risk 49%
Robot Risk 49%

Food Servers, Nonrestaurant

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 47%

Fast Food and Counter Workers

AI Risk 46%
Robot Risk 38%

Food Preparation Workers

AI Risk 45%
Robot Risk 42%

Cooks, Private Household

AI Risk 44%
Robot Risk 45%

Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers

AI Risk 43%
Robot Risk 45%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

Technologies & Software

  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Toast AI
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • ADP eTIME
  • Microsoft Word
  • Internet browser software
  • CostGuard
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Delphi Technology
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Menu planning software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • GroupMe
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Email software
  • Facebook
  • ReServe Interactive
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Google Sheets
  • Steam tables
  • Fruit zesters
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Rice cookers
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Broilers
  • Melon ballers
  • Food shredders
  • Convection ovens
  • Garbage compactors
  • Laptop computers
  • Meat thermometers
  • Woks
  • Gas stoves
  • Boning knives
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Meat slicers
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Oyster knives
  • Meat grinders
  • Plane graters
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Slicing machines
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Gas ovens
  • Electric stoves
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Griddles
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Double boilers
  • Desktop computers
  • Chefs' knives
  • Ice-making machines
  • Parisian cutters
  • Toasters
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Pizza ovens
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Cream whippers
  • Juice dispensers
  • Strainers
  • Sifters
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Pasta machines
  • Steam kettles
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Food dicers
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Food processors
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Food smokers
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Bread slicers
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Salamanders
  • Braziers
  • Paring knives
  • Kitchen shears
  • Waffle makers
  • Sieves
  • Box graters
  • Blenders
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Mixers
  • Bone saws
  • Apple corers
  • Blast chillers
  • Juice extractors
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Mandolines
  • Electric ovens
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Grills
  • Portion scales
  • Rolling pins
  • Personal computers
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Rotisserie units

Alternative Job Titles