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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Head Pastry Chef” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Head Pastry Chef” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Head Pastry Chef” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

AI Risk 49%
Robot Risk 49%

Food Servers, Nonrestaurant

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 47%

Fast Food and Counter Workers

AI Risk 46%
Robot Risk 38%

Food Preparation Workers

AI Risk 45%
Robot Risk 42%

Cooks, Private Household

AI Risk 44%
Robot Risk 45%

Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers

AI Risk 43%
Robot Risk 45%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Facebook
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Toast AI
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • ADP eTIME
  • CostGuard
  • Delphi Technology
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • GroupMe
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Google Sheets
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Internet browser software
  • ReServe Interactive
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Email software
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • Menu planning software
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Microsoft Word
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Garbage compactors
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Food processors
  • Meat slicers
  • Cream whippers
  • Blast chillers
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Gas ovens
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Steam tables
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Desktop computers
  • Electric stoves
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Strainers
  • Waffle makers
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Mixers
  • Juice extractors
  • Ice-making machines
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Food dicers
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Rolling pins
  • Double boilers
  • Grills
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Apple corers
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Salamanders
  • Meat grinders
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Juice dispensers
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Steam kettles
  • Chefs' knives
  • Meat thermometers
  • Parisian cutters
  • Kitchen shears
  • Portion scales
  • Bone saws
  • Bread slicers
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Broilers
  • Fruit zesters
  • Melon ballers
  • Plane graters
  • Griddles
  • Rice cookers
  • Sieves
  • Woks
  • Slicing machines
  • Pasta machines
  • Boning knives
  • Food smokers
  • Pizza ovens
  • Toasters
  • Sifters
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Rotisserie units
  • Oyster knives
  • Box graters
  • Electric ovens
  • Food shredders
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Paring knives
  • Laptop computers
  • Convection ovens
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Mandolines
  • Braziers
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Gas stoves
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Personal computers
  • Blenders
  • Commercial coffeemakers

Alternative Job Titles