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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Pizza Chef” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Pizza Chef” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Pizza Chef” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

Technologies & Software

  • GroupMe
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Toast AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Google Sheets
  • Facebook
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • Email software
  • CostGuard
  • Internet browser software
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Word
  • Delphi Technology
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Menu planning software
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • ADP eTIME
  • Microsoft Office software
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • ReServe Interactive
  • Box graters
  • Pizza ovens
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Melon ballers
  • Griddles
  • Kitchen shears
  • Food shredders
  • Braziers
  • Grills
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Steam kettles
  • Garbage compactors
  • Fruit zesters
  • Salamanders
  • Rice cookers
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Apple corers
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Waffle makers
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Gas stoves
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Paring knives
  • Rotisserie units
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Meat slicers
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Convection ovens
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Ice-making machines
  • Strainers
  • Pasta machines
  • Food smokers
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Plane graters
  • Personal computers
  • Desktop computers
  • Sieves
  • Meat thermometers
  • Chefs' knives
  • Parisian cutters
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Steam tables
  • Blenders
  • Mandolines
  • Rolling pins
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Gas ovens
  • Laptop computers
  • Boning knives
  • Toasters
  • Bread slicers
  • Woks
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Juice extractors
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Portion scales
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Oyster knives
  • Meat grinders
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Food dicers
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Food processors
  • Cream whippers
  • Slicing machines
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Electric ovens
  • Electric stoves
  • Double boilers
  • Broilers
  • Juice dispensers
  • Bone saws
  • Blast chillers
  • Mixers
  • Sifters