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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Executive Pastry Chef” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Executive Pastry Chef” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Executive Pastry Chef” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

AI Risk 49%
Robot Risk 49%

Food Servers, Nonrestaurant

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 47%

Fast Food and Counter Workers

AI Risk 46%
Robot Risk 38%

Food Preparation Workers

AI Risk 45%
Robot Risk 42%

Cooks, Private Household

AI Risk 44%
Robot Risk 45%

Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers

AI Risk 43%
Robot Risk 45%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

Technologies & Software

  • ADP eTIME
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Menu planning software
  • Google Sheets
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Microsoft Word
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Delphi Technology
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Toast AI
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Email software
  • GroupMe
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Microsoft Excel
  • CostGuard
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • ReServe Interactive
  • Internet browser software
  • Facebook
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Convection ovens
  • Boning knives
  • Laptop computers
  • Grills
  • Juice extractors
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Meat slicers
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Braziers
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Electric stoves
  • Electric ovens
  • Blast chillers
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Paring knives
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Juice dispensers
  • Strainers
  • Waffle makers
  • Personal computers
  • Apple corers
  • Oyster knives
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Rolling pins
  • Mandolines
  • Kitchen shears
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Bone saws
  • Salamanders
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Melon ballers
  • Meat grinders
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Gas ovens
  • Portion scales
  • Pizza ovens
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Sifters
  • Fruit zesters
  • Rice cookers
  • Box graters
  • Food dicers
  • Steam kettles
  • Plane graters
  • Gas stoves
  • Pasta machines
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Griddles
  • Garbage compactors
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Slicing machines
  • Food shredders
  • Food smokers
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Toasters
  • Woks
  • Food processors
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Sieves
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Double boilers
  • Meat thermometers
  • Ice-making machines
  • Chefs' knives
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Blenders
  • Desktop computers
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Steam tables
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Bread slicers
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Broilers
  • Rotisserie units
  • Parisian cutters
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Cream whippers
  • Mixers

Alternative Job Titles