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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Executive Pastry Chef” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Executive Pastry Chef” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Executive Pastry Chef” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

AI Risk 49%
Robot Risk 49%

Food Servers, Nonrestaurant

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 47%

Fast Food and Counter Workers

AI Risk 46%
Robot Risk 38%

Food Preparation Workers

AI Risk 45%
Robot Risk 42%

Cooks, Private Household

AI Risk 44%
Robot Risk 45%

Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers

AI Risk 43%
Robot Risk 45%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

Technologies & Software

  • CostGuard
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Delphi Technology
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Facebook
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Menu planning software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Toast AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • ADP eTIME
  • Microsoft Office software
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Google Sheets
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • GroupMe
  • Microsoft Word
  • Internet browser software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Email software
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • ReServe Interactive
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Kitchen shears
  • Woks
  • Rolling pins
  • Mandolines
  • Ice-making machines
  • Paring knives
  • Steam kettles
  • Sifters
  • Rice cookers
  • Food processors
  • Meat thermometers
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Electric ovens
  • Gas stoves
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Juice extractors
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Electric stoves
  • Food smokers
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Desktop computers
  • Blast chillers
  • Portion scales
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Salamanders
  • Oyster knives
  • Cream whippers
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Juice dispensers
  • Chefs' knives
  • Laptop computers
  • Meat slicers
  • Fruit zesters
  • Food shredders
  • Bread slicers
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Box graters
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Slicing machines
  • Melon ballers
  • Griddles
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Parisian cutters
  • Braziers
  • Pasta machines
  • Garbage compactors
  • Strainers
  • Rotisserie units
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Grills
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Meat grinders
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Pizza ovens
  • Blenders
  • Gas ovens
  • Steam tables
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Sieves
  • Mixers
  • Double boilers
  • Toasters
  • Personal computers
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Bone saws
  • Boning knives
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Apple corers
  • Waffle makers
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Food dicers
  • Plane graters
  • Broilers
  • Convection ovens

Alternative Job Titles