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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Head Chef” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Head Chef” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Head Chef” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

Technologies & Software

  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • CostGuard
  • Internet browser software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • Microsoft Word
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Microsoft Office software
  • GroupMe
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • ReServe Interactive
  • Toast AI
  • Email software
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Menu planning software
  • Delphi Technology
  • Facebook
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Google Sheets
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • ADP eTIME
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Pizza ovens
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Oyster knives
  • Fruit zesters
  • Slicing machines
  • Rice cookers
  • Food smokers
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Braziers
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Chefs' knives
  • Meat grinders
  • Double boilers
  • Garbage compactors
  • Cream whippers
  • Rotisserie units
  • Salamanders
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Melon ballers
  • Toasters
  • Portion scales
  • Pasta machines
  • Personal computers
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Rolling pins
  • Food dicers
  • Steam tables
  • Juice dispensers
  • Grills
  • Parisian cutters
  • Blast chillers
  • Juice extractors
  • Food processors
  • Paring knives
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Convection ovens
  • Electric ovens
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Bread slicers
  • Waffle makers
  • Box graters
  • Gas stoves
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Mandolines
  • Electric stoves
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Sifters
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Mixers
  • Boning knives
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Strainers
  • Food shredders
  • Woks
  • Blenders
  • Kitchen shears
  • Meat thermometers
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Laptop computers
  • Sieves
  • Griddles
  • Steam kettles
  • Apple corers
  • Desktop computers
  • Broilers
  • Ice-making machines
  • Gas ovens
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Plane graters
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Bone saws
  • Meat slicers
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers