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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Head Chef” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Head Chef” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Head Chef” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

Technologies & Software

  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • ADP eTIME
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • ReServe Interactive
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Microsoft Word
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Menu planning software
  • Facebook
  • CostGuard
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • GroupMe
  • Email software
  • Google Sheets
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Delphi Technology
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Toast AI
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • Internet browser software
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Double boilers
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Mixers
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Pizza ovens
  • Rolling pins
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Gas stoves
  • Meat grinders
  • Griddles
  • Bone saws
  • Steam kettles
  • Oyster knives
  • Apple corers
  • Chefs' knives
  • Food smokers
  • Salamanders
  • Woks
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Sieves
  • Broilers
  • Rotisserie units
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Gas ovens
  • Parisian cutters
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Slicing machines
  • Juice extractors
  • Ice-making machines
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Toasters
  • Kitchen shears
  • Portion scales
  • Blast chillers
  • Convection ovens
  • Personal computers
  • Electric stoves
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Meat slicers
  • Steam tables
  • Melon ballers
  • Food processors
  • Desktop computers
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Strainers
  • Rice cookers
  • Sifters
  • Grills
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Garbage compactors
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Paring knives
  • Fruit zesters
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Electric ovens
  • Food dicers
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Blenders
  • Waffle makers
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Meat thermometers
  • Laptop computers
  • Braziers
  • Bread slicers
  • Plane graters
  • Mandolines
  • Box graters
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Food shredders
  • Juice dispensers
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Cream whippers
  • Pasta machines
  • Boning knives