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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Restaurant Chef” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Restaurant Chef” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Restaurant Chef” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

Technologies & Software

  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • Facebook
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Google Sheets
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • ADP eTIME
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Menu planning software
  • Email software
  • CostGuard
  • Internet browser software
  • Delphi Technology
  • GroupMe
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • ReServe Interactive
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Toast AI
  • Electric stoves
  • Fruit zesters
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Personal computers
  • Mandolines
  • Laptop computers
  • Electric ovens
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Portion scales
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Slicing machines
  • Broilers
  • Kitchen shears
  • Food shredders
  • Food processors
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Chefs' knives
  • Paring knives
  • Juice dispensers
  • Grills
  • Blast chillers
  • Ice-making machines
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Bread slicers
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Desktop computers
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Plane graters
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Steam kettles
  • Woks
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Waffle makers
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Melon ballers
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Steam tables
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Blenders
  • Food smokers
  • Cream whippers
  • Rotisserie units
  • Toasters
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Meat thermometers
  • Boning knives
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Salamanders
  • Sieves
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Meat slicers
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Parisian cutters
  • Bone saws
  • Pizza ovens
  • Meat grinders
  • Food dicers
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Strainers
  • Oyster knives
  • Convection ovens
  • Juice extractors
  • Box graters
  • Apple corers
  • Gas ovens
  • Braziers
  • Rice cookers
  • Mixers
  • Griddles
  • Garbage compactors
  • Gas stoves
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Double boilers
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Pasta machines
  • Sifters
  • Rolling pins
  • Serrated blade knives