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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Pastry Cook” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Pastry Cook” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Pastry Cook” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

Technologies & Software

  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Toast AI
  • ReServe Interactive
  • Delphi Technology
  • Menu planning software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Facebook
  • Google Sheets
  • Microsoft Office software
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Microsoft Word
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • GroupMe
  • Internet browser software
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • ADP eTIME
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • CostGuard
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Email software
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Griddles
  • Waffle makers
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Personal computers
  • Steam kettles
  • Chefs' knives
  • Juice dispensers
  • Cream whippers
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Bone saws
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Meat thermometers
  • Melon ballers
  • Double boilers
  • Sieves
  • Parisian cutters
  • Garbage compactors
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Pizza ovens
  • Gas ovens
  • Apple corers
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Sifters
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Rice cookers
  • Broilers
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Paring knives
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Mandolines
  • Mixers
  • Ice-making machines
  • Salamanders
  • Fruit zesters
  • Boning knives
  • Grills
  • Pasta machines
  • Box graters
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Gas stoves
  • Oyster knives
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Woks
  • Convection ovens
  • Food smokers
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Electric ovens
  • Rotisserie units
  • Braziers
  • Blenders
  • Strainers
  • Meat grinders
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Desktop computers
  • Plane graters
  • Portion scales
  • Blast chillers
  • Steam tables
  • Electric stoves
  • Food shredders
  • Rolling pins
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Laptop computers
  • Slicing machines
  • Food dicers
  • Kitchen shears
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Toasters
  • Food processors
  • Juice extractors
  • Bread slicers
  • Meat slicers
  • Kitchen tongs