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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Pastry Cook” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Pastry Cook” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Pastry Cook” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

AI Risk 49%
Robot Risk 49%

Food Servers, Nonrestaurant

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 47%

Fast Food and Counter Workers

AI Risk 46%
Robot Risk 38%

Food Preparation Workers

AI Risk 45%
Robot Risk 42%

Cooks, Private Household

AI Risk 44%
Robot Risk 45%

Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers

AI Risk 43%
Robot Risk 45%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

Technologies & Software

  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Internet browser software
  • Delphi Technology
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • Google Sheets
  • Email software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • GroupMe
  • Microsoft Word
  • CostGuard
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Menu planning software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Facebook
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • ReServe Interactive
  • Toast AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • ADP eTIME
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Grills
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Slicing machines
  • Bread slicers
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Desktop computers
  • Bone saws
  • Pasta machines
  • Woks
  • Plane graters
  • Garbage compactors
  • Broilers
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Personal computers
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Gas ovens
  • Paring knives
  • Food smokers
  • Food dicers
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Kitchen shears
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Sifters
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Apple corers
  • Mixers
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Fruit zesters
  • Electric ovens
  • Parisian cutters
  • Braziers
  • Ice-making machines
  • Meat grinders
  • Steam tables
  • Oyster knives
  • Waffle makers
  • Gas stoves
  • Electric stoves
  • Juice extractors
  • Blenders
  • Boning knives
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Sieves
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Rolling pins
  • Juice dispensers
  • Chefs' knives
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Cream whippers
  • Meat thermometers
  • Food shredders
  • Rice cookers
  • Steam kettles
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Melon ballers
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Box graters
  • Meat slicers
  • Portion scales
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Salamanders
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Double boilers
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Blast chillers
  • Toasters
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Food processors
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Mandolines
  • Pizza ovens
  • Griddles
  • Laptop computers
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Convection ovens
  • Strainers
  • Rotisserie units

Alternative Job Titles