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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Chef” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Chef” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Chef” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

Technologies & Software

  • Facebook
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • CostGuard
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • ADP eTIME
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Excel
  • ReServe Interactive
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Google Sheets
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • Internet browser software
  • Toast AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • Menu planning software
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • GroupMe
  • Email software
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Delphi Technology
  • Microsoft Word
  • Meat thermometers
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Woks
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Kitchen shears
  • Strainers
  • Ice-making machines
  • Paring knives
  • Cream whippers
  • Pasta machines
  • Portion scales
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Blast chillers
  • Bone saws
  • Meat slicers
  • Juice extractors
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Rotisserie units
  • Blenders
  • Bread slicers
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Personal computers
  • Electric stoves
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Food dicers
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Grills
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Toasters
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Food smokers
  • Slicing machines
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Laptop computers
  • Salamanders
  • Sifters
  • Boning knives
  • Mixers
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Mandolines
  • Oyster knives
  • Meat grinders
  • Electric ovens
  • Fruit zesters
  • Melon ballers
  • Broilers
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Juice dispensers
  • Gas ovens
  • Desktop computers
  • Plane graters
  • Double boilers
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Waffle makers
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Food processors
  • Parisian cutters
  • Steam kettles
  • Steam tables
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Box graters
  • Gas stoves
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Rice cookers
  • Food shredders
  • Sieves
  • Braziers
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Convection ovens
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Garbage compactors
  • Griddles
  • Pizza ovens
  • Rolling pins
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Chefs' knives
  • Apple corers