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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Chef” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Chef” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Chef” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

Technologies & Software

  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • ADP eTIME
  • Internet browser software
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Toast AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • Delphi Technology
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • GroupMe
  • Google Sheets
  • ReServe Interactive
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • CostGuard
  • Menu planning software
  • Email software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Facebook
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Fruit zesters
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Bone saws
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Juice dispensers
  • Kitchen shears
  • Laptop computers
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Meat slicers
  • Double boilers
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Sieves
  • Meat thermometers
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Desktop computers
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Mandolines
  • Paring knives
  • Strainers
  • Mixers
  • Electric ovens
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Salamanders
  • Chefs' knives
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Cream whippers
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Bread slicers
  • Juice extractors
  • Slicing machines
  • Garbage compactors
  • Food shredders
  • Convection ovens
  • Meat grinders
  • Gas ovens
  • Blenders
  • Woks
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Braziers
  • Electric stoves
  • Rotisserie units
  • Oyster knives
  • Box graters
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Ice-making machines
  • Grills
  • Apple corers
  • Broilers
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Gas stoves
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Pasta machines
  • Pizza ovens
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Steam tables
  • Rice cookers
  • Steam kettles
  • Personal computers
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Food smokers
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Griddles
  • Portion scales
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Sifters
  • Toasters
  • Plane graters
  • Boning knives
  • Parisian cutters
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Blast chillers
  • Waffle makers
  • Rolling pins
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Food processors
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Food dicers
  • Melon ballers