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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Chef” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Chef” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Chef” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

AI Risk 49%
Robot Risk 49%

Food Servers, Nonrestaurant

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 47%

Fast Food and Counter Workers

AI Risk 46%
Robot Risk 38%

Food Preparation Workers

AI Risk 45%
Robot Risk 42%

Cooks, Private Household

AI Risk 44%
Robot Risk 45%

Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers

AI Risk 43%
Robot Risk 45%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

Technologies & Software

  • Delphi Technology
  • Facebook
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Toast AI
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Email software
  • Internet browser software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • GroupMe
  • Google Sheets
  • Menu planning software
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • ADP eTIME
  • CostGuard
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Word
  • ReServe Interactive
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • Rice cookers
  • Laptop computers
  • Meat grinders
  • Rolling pins
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Woks
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Food smokers
  • Electric ovens
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Pizza ovens
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Meat thermometers
  • Meat slicers
  • Food shredders
  • Mandolines
  • Grills
  • Convection ovens
  • Paring knives
  • Steam kettles
  • Parisian cutters
  • Plane graters
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Strainers
  • Gas stoves
  • Chefs' knives
  • Broilers
  • Oyster knives
  • Pasta machines
  • Rotisserie units
  • Fruit zesters
  • Braziers
  • Gas ovens
  • Ice-making machines
  • Melon ballers
  • Bread slicers
  • Juice dispensers
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Boning knives
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Waffle makers
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Garbage compactors
  • Apple corers
  • Blast chillers
  • Personal computers
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Juice extractors
  • Blenders
  • Sifters
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Food dicers
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Desktop computers
  • Double boilers
  • Slicing machines
  • Toasters
  • Bone saws
  • Electric stoves
  • Food processors
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Steam tables
  • Griddles
  • Box graters
  • Mixers
  • Cream whippers
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Sieves
  • Salamanders
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Kitchen shears
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Portion scales

Alternative Job Titles