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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Pastry Artist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Pastry Artist” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Pastry Artist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

AI Risk 49%
Robot Risk 49%

Food Servers, Nonrestaurant

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 47%

Fast Food and Counter Workers

AI Risk 46%
Robot Risk 38%

Food Preparation Workers

AI Risk 45%
Robot Risk 42%

Cooks, Private Household

AI Risk 44%
Robot Risk 45%

Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers

AI Risk 43%
Robot Risk 45%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

Technologies & Software

  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Google Sheets
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • Facebook
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Delphi Technology
  • Microsoft Word
  • GroupMe
  • CostGuard
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • Menu planning software
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Toast AI
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • ReServe Interactive
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Internet browser software
  • ADP eTIME
  • Microsoft Excel
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Email software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Parisian cutters
  • Toasters
  • Food dicers
  • Kitchen shears
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Personal computers
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Apple corers
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Desktop computers
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Box graters
  • Juice dispensers
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Broilers
  • Blast chillers
  • Braziers
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Electric stoves
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Rotisserie units
  • Meat slicers
  • Melon ballers
  • Grills
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Cream whippers
  • Gas ovens
  • Sieves
  • Juice extractors
  • Electric ovens
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Rolling pins
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Blenders
  • Rice cookers
  • Meat thermometers
  • Mandolines
  • Food smokers
  • Food processors
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Ice-making machines
  • Steam tables
  • Bone saws
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Boning knives
  • Bread slicers
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Double boilers
  • Gas stoves
  • Waffle makers
  • Fruit zesters
  • Salamanders
  • Meat grinders
  • Laptop computers
  • Convection ovens
  • Woks
  • Pizza ovens
  • Food shredders
  • Plane graters
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Garbage compactors
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Sifters
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Griddles
  • Portion scales
  • Slicing machines
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Oyster knives
  • Steam kettles
  • Pasta machines
  • Mixers
  • Chefs' knives
  • Strainers
  • Paring knives

Alternative Job Titles