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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Head Baker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Head Baker” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Head Baker” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

AI Risk 49%
Robot Risk 49%

Food Servers, Nonrestaurant

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 47%

Fast Food and Counter Workers

AI Risk 46%
Robot Risk 38%

Food Preparation Workers

AI Risk 45%
Robot Risk 42%

Cooks, Private Household

AI Risk 44%
Robot Risk 45%

Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers

AI Risk 43%
Robot Risk 45%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Word
  • ADP eTIME
  • GroupMe
  • Google Sheets
  • ReServe Interactive
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • CostGuard
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Internet browser software
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • Facebook
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Toast AI
  • Menu planning software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Email software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Delphi Technology
  • Gas ovens
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Woks
  • Bread slicers
  • Electric stoves
  • Box graters
  • Strainers
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Braziers
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Mandolines
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Salamanders
  • Meat thermometers
  • Rolling pins
  • Food dicers
  • Fruit zesters
  • Rotisserie units
  • Melon ballers
  • Electric ovens
  • Cream whippers
  • Broilers
  • Gas stoves
  • Food shredders
  • Convection ovens
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Oyster knives
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Garbage compactors
  • Meat slicers
  • Steam kettles
  • Mixers
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Meat grinders
  • Steam tables
  • Portion scales
  • Sieves
  • Boning knives
  • Blenders
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Waffle makers
  • Slicing machines
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Paring knives
  • Blast chillers
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Sifters
  • Juice dispensers
  • Pizza ovens
  • Chefs' knives
  • Apple corers
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Grills
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Desktop computers
  • Personal computers
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Rice cookers
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Pasta machines
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Toasters
  • Griddles
  • Food smokers
  • Juice extractors
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Bone saws
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Laptop computers
  • Ice-making machines
  • Food processors
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Kitchen shears
  • Double boilers
  • Plane graters
  • Parisian cutters

Alternative Job Titles