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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Head Baker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Head Baker” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Head Baker” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

AI Risk 49%
Robot Risk 49%

Food Servers, Nonrestaurant

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 47%

Fast Food and Counter Workers

AI Risk 46%
Robot Risk 38%

Food Preparation Workers

AI Risk 45%
Robot Risk 42%

Cooks, Private Household

AI Risk 44%
Robot Risk 45%

Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers

AI Risk 43%
Robot Risk 45%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

Technologies & Software

  • ADP eTIME
  • Internet browser software
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Toast AI
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Email software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • ReServe Interactive
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Menu planning software
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • CostGuard
  • Google Sheets
  • Microsoft Word
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • Facebook
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • GroupMe
  • Delphi Technology
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Rice cookers
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Plane graters
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Electric ovens
  • Parisian cutters
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Bread slicers
  • Desktop computers
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Griddles
  • Meat slicers
  • Slicing machines
  • Food shredders
  • Paring knives
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Braziers
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Sieves
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Strainers
  • Sifters
  • Steam kettles
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Electric stoves
  • Waffle makers
  • Kitchen shears
  • Juice dispensers
  • Juice extractors
  • Salamanders
  • Woks
  • Box graters
  • Ice-making machines
  • Garbage compactors
  • Mandolines
  • Toasters
  • Double boilers
  • Fruit zesters
  • Meat thermometers
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Mixers
  • Gas ovens
  • Oyster knives
  • Personal computers
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Steam tables
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Grills
  • Bone saws
  • Gas stoves
  • Blenders
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Laptop computers
  • Rotisserie units
  • Rolling pins
  • Boning knives
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Melon ballers
  • Pizza ovens
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Food processors
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Food dicers
  • Portion scales
  • Chefs' knives
  • Apple corers
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Convection ovens
  • Broilers
  • Food smokers
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Blast chillers
  • Pasta machines
  • Cream whippers
  • Meat grinders

Alternative Job Titles