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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Cooking Chef” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Cooking Chef” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Cooking Chef” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

AI Risk 49%
Robot Risk 49%

Food Servers, Nonrestaurant

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 47%

Fast Food and Counter Workers

AI Risk 46%
Robot Risk 38%

Food Preparation Workers

AI Risk 45%
Robot Risk 42%

Cooks, Private Household

AI Risk 44%
Robot Risk 45%

Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers

AI Risk 43%
Robot Risk 45%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

Technologies & Software

  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • ADP eTIME
  • Delphi Technology
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Menu planning software
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • CostGuard
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Google Sheets
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • Microsoft Word
  • Internet browser software
  • Facebook
  • Email software
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • ReServe Interactive
  • Microsoft Office software
  • GroupMe
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • Toast AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Griddles
  • Woks
  • Bread slicers
  • Apple corers
  • Rolling pins
  • Gas ovens
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Juice extractors
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Meat thermometers
  • Broilers
  • Braziers
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Strainers
  • Cream whippers
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Garbage compactors
  • Waffle makers
  • Double boilers
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Laptop computers
  • Paring knives
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Meat grinders
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Ice-making machines
  • Blenders
  • Sifters
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Meat slicers
  • Steam kettles
  • Mixers
  • Grills
  • Parisian cutters
  • Steam tables
  • Rice cookers
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Oyster knives
  • Toasters
  • Portion scales
  • Bone saws
  • Melon ballers
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Convection ovens
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Plane graters
  • Personal computers
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Chefs' knives
  • Boning knives
  • Food smokers
  • Food shredders
  • Desktop computers
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Slicing machines
  • Kitchen shears
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Sieves
  • Gas stoves
  • Fruit zesters
  • Mandolines
  • Juice dispensers
  • Pasta machines
  • Pizza ovens
  • Food processors
  • Blast chillers
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Salamanders
  • Electric stoves
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Electric ovens
  • Box graters
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Rotisserie units
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Food dicers

Alternative Job Titles