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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Cooking Chef” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Cooking Chef” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Cooking Chef” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

Technologies & Software

  • ReServe Interactive
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Toast AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Internet browser software
  • Google Sheets
  • GroupMe
  • Email software
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Menu planning software
  • Facebook
  • Delphi Technology
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • CostGuard
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • ADP eTIME
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Word
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Broilers
  • Melon ballers
  • Garbage compactors
  • Parisian cutters
  • Meat thermometers
  • Gas stoves
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Kitchen shears
  • Pizza ovens
  • Toasters
  • Apple corers
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Gas ovens
  • Convection ovens
  • Boning knives
  • Salamanders
  • Electric ovens
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Portion scales
  • Food dicers
  • Food smokers
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Chefs' knives
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Slicing machines
  • Blast chillers
  • Pasta machines
  • Electric stoves
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Double boilers
  • Steam kettles
  • Braziers
  • Mixers
  • Grills
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Laptop computers
  • Griddles
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Rolling pins
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Mandolines
  • Rice cookers
  • Cream whippers
  • Strainers
  • Blenders
  • Bone saws
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Personal computers
  • Woks
  • Juice dispensers
  • Paring knives
  • Waffle makers
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Bread slicers
  • Fruit zesters
  • Sieves
  • Sifters
  • Juice extractors
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Steam tables
  • Box graters
  • Food shredders
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Desktop computers
  • Rotisserie units
  • Plane graters
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Oyster knives
  • Meat grinders
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Ice-making machines
  • Meat slicers
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Food processors
  • Knife sharpeners