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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Culinary Chef” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Culinary Chef” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Culinary Chef” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

Technologies & Software

  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Delphi Technology
  • GroupMe
  • Email software
  • Toast AI
  • Internet browser software
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Microsoft Excel
  • ReServe Interactive
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Menu planning software
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Microsoft Word
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Facebook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • ADP eTIME
  • Google Sheets
  • CostGuard
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Strainers
  • Steam tables
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Steam kettles
  • Boning knives
  • Box graters
  • Pizza ovens
  • Paring knives
  • Chefs' knives
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Blenders
  • Meat thermometers
  • Sieves
  • Gas stoves
  • Waffle makers
  • Food shredders
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Slicing machines
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Griddles
  • Pasta machines
  • Electric ovens
  • Melon ballers
  • Sifters
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Meat grinders
  • Toasters
  • Meat slicers
  • Broilers
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Double boilers
  • Grills
  • Fruit zesters
  • Salamanders
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Food smokers
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Juice extractors
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Cream whippers
  • Garbage compactors
  • Bone saws
  • Woks
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Braziers
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Juice dispensers
  • Rice cookers
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Rotisserie units
  • Personal computers
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Convection ovens
  • Ice-making machines
  • Gas ovens
  • Blast chillers
  • Portion scales
  • Electric stoves
  • Parisian cutters
  • Mixers
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Bread slicers
  • Laptop computers
  • Desktop computers
  • Plane graters
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Apple corers
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Mandolines
  • Kitchen shears
  • Food dicers
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Rolling pins
  • Oyster knives
  • Food processors
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers