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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Executive Pastry Chef” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Executive Pastry Chef” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Executive Pastry Chef” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

AI Risk 49%
Robot Risk 49%

Food Servers, Nonrestaurant

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 47%

Fast Food and Counter Workers

AI Risk 46%
Robot Risk 38%

Food Preparation Workers

AI Risk 45%
Robot Risk 42%

Cooks, Private Household

AI Risk 44%
Robot Risk 45%

Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers

AI Risk 43%
Robot Risk 45%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Excel
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Google Sheets
  • Facebook
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Delphi Technology
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • CostGuard
  • ADP eTIME
  • Microsoft Word
  • Menu planning software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • ReServe Interactive
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • GroupMe
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Internet browser software
  • Email software
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • Toast AI
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Ice-making machines
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Blenders
  • Pasta machines
  • Steam tables
  • Meat grinders
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Waffle makers
  • Mandolines
  • Salamanders
  • Electric ovens
  • Food dicers
  • Gas stoves
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Rotisserie units
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Meat thermometers
  • Boning knives
  • Meat slicers
  • Kitchen shears
  • Food smokers
  • Double boilers
  • Juice extractors
  • Food shredders
  • Mixers
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Steam kettles
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Personal computers
  • Strainers
  • Grills
  • Bread slicers
  • Fruit zesters
  • Broilers
  • Desktop computers
  • Rolling pins
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Bone saws
  • Sifters
  • Sieves
  • Laptop computers
  • Griddles
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Cream whippers
  • Blast chillers
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Pizza ovens
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Food processors
  • Braziers
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Box graters
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Rice cookers
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Apple corers
  • Portion scales
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Parisian cutters
  • Melon ballers
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Paring knives
  • Garbage compactors
  • Electric stoves
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Convection ovens
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Oyster knives
  • Toasters
  • Woks
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Gas ovens
  • Plane graters
  • Chefs' knives
  • Slicing machines
  • Juice dispensers

Alternative Job Titles