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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Head Baker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Head Baker” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Head Baker” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

AI Risk 49%
Robot Risk 49%

Food Servers, Nonrestaurant

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 47%

Fast Food and Counter Workers

AI Risk 46%
Robot Risk 38%

Food Preparation Workers

AI Risk 45%
Robot Risk 42%

Cooks, Private Household

AI Risk 44%
Robot Risk 45%

Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers

AI Risk 43%
Robot Risk 45%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Office software
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Facebook
  • ReServe Interactive
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • ADP eTIME
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • GroupMe
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Internet browser software
  • Delphi Technology
  • Toast AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Google Sheets
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Menu planning software
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Email software
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • CostGuard
  • Sifters
  • Cream whippers
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Griddles
  • Steam kettles
  • Pizza ovens
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Parisian cutters
  • Plane graters
  • Braziers
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Steam tables
  • Kitchen shears
  • Desktop computers
  • Juice extractors
  • Waffle makers
  • Paring knives
  • Juice dispensers
  • Electric ovens
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Laptop computers
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Sieves
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Gas ovens
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Box graters
  • Rotisserie units
  • Convection ovens
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Fruit zesters
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Blenders
  • Electric stoves
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Oyster knives
  • Food dicers
  • Garbage compactors
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Slicing machines
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Mandolines
  • Ice-making machines
  • Boning knives
  • Gas stoves
  • Meat grinders
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Mixers
  • Personal computers
  • Bone saws
  • Woks
  • Blast chillers
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Toasters
  • Apple corers
  • Rolling pins
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Food shredders
  • Chefs' knives
  • Melon ballers
  • Strainers
  • Food smokers
  • Portion scales
  • Pasta machines
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Bread slicers
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Grills
  • Meat slicers
  • Salamanders
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Broilers
  • Food processors
  • Meat thermometers
  • Double boilers
  • Rice cookers

Alternative Job Titles