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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Cooking Chef” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Cooking Chef” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Cooking Chef” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

Technologies & Software

  • CostGuard
  • Email software
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • ReServe Interactive
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Internet browser software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Menu planning software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Toast AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Word
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Delphi Technology
  • Google Sheets
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • GroupMe
  • ADP eTIME
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Facebook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Portion scales
  • Woks
  • Food dicers
  • Fruit zesters
  • Grills
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Paring knives
  • Blenders
  • Box graters
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Plane graters
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Food processors
  • Griddles
  • Desktop computers
  • Slicing machines
  • Double boilers
  • Bread slicers
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Strainers
  • Waffle makers
  • Kitchen shears
  • Pizza ovens
  • Personal computers
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Parisian cutters
  • Food shredders
  • Boning knives
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Electric ovens
  • Pasta machines
  • Electric stoves
  • Salamanders
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Rolling pins
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Blast chillers
  • Melon ballers
  • Cream whippers
  • Oyster knives
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Broilers
  • Meat slicers
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Juice extractors
  • Toasters
  • Meat thermometers
  • Juice dispensers
  • Apple corers
  • Chefs' knives
  • Food smokers
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Convection ovens
  • Bone saws
  • Laptop computers
  • Gas ovens
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Sifters
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Meat grinders
  • Rotisserie units
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Steam kettles
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Garbage compactors
  • Steam tables
  • Sieves
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Mixers
  • Rice cookers
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Ice-making machines
  • Mandolines
  • Gas stoves
  • Braziers