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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Pantry Chef” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Pantry Chef” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Pantry Chef” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

AI Risk 49%
Robot Risk 49%

Food Servers, Nonrestaurant

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 47%

Fast Food and Counter Workers

AI Risk 46%
Robot Risk 38%

Food Preparation Workers

AI Risk 45%
Robot Risk 42%

Cooks, Private Household

AI Risk 44%
Robot Risk 45%

Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers

AI Risk 43%
Robot Risk 45%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

Technologies & Software

  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Google Sheets
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Internet browser software
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • Email software
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Facebook
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • ReServe Interactive
  • CostGuard
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Menu planning software
  • GroupMe
  • ADP eTIME
  • Toast AI
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Office software
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • Delphi Technology
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Word
  • Toasters
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Sifters
  • Electric ovens
  • Desktop computers
  • Rotisserie units
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Meat slicers
  • Food smokers
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Laptop computers
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Chefs' knives
  • Pizza ovens
  • Apple corers
  • Double boilers
  • Food processors
  • Personal computers
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Steam tables
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Bread slicers
  • Pasta machines
  • Parisian cutters
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Oyster knives
  • Grills
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Plane graters
  • Ice-making machines
  • Bone saws
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Kitchen shears
  • Braziers
  • Sieves
  • Food shredders
  • Juice dispensers
  • Gas stoves
  • Electric stoves
  • Salamanders
  • Boning knives
  • Woks
  • Gas ovens
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Box graters
  • Blast chillers
  • Convection ovens
  • Garbage compactors
  • Steam kettles
  • Broilers
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Mandolines
  • Rolling pins
  • Paring knives
  • Griddles
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Mixers
  • Meat thermometers
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Slicing machines
  • Juice extractors
  • Strainers
  • Meat grinders
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Waffle makers
  • Blenders
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Portion scales
  • Melon ballers
  • Cream whippers
  • Fruit zesters
  • Food dicers
  • Rice cookers

Alternative Job Titles