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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Kitchen Chef” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Kitchen Chef” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Kitchen Chef” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Excel
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • GroupMe
  • Delphi Technology
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • ADP eTIME
  • ReServe Interactive
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Email software
  • Menu planning software
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Google Sheets
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • CostGuard
  • Facebook
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Toast AI
  • Internet browser software
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • Griddles
  • Food smokers
  • Chefs' knives
  • Laptop computers
  • Gas ovens
  • Paring knives
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Garbage compactors
  • Melon ballers
  • Apple corers
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Food dicers
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Oyster knives
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Kitchen shears
  • Mixers
  • Braziers
  • Electric ovens
  • Rotisserie units
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Double boilers
  • Mandolines
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Bread slicers
  • Slicing machines
  • Broilers
  • Steam kettles
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Sifters
  • Desktop computers
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Grills
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Meat slicers
  • Ice-making machines
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Box graters
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Woks
  • Portion scales
  • Pizza ovens
  • Juice extractors
  • Bone saws
  • Toasters
  • Gas stoves
  • Parisian cutters
  • Juice dispensers
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Steam tables
  • Waffle makers
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Convection ovens
  • Rice cookers
  • Boning knives
  • Pasta machines
  • Cream whippers
  • Sieves
  • Salamanders
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Electric stoves
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Food shredders
  • Blast chillers
  • Fruit zesters
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Plane graters
  • Strainers
  • Food processors
  • Meat grinders
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Blenders
  • Personal computers
  • Meat thermometers
  • Rolling pins
  • Kitchen tongs