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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Baker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Baker” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Baker” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

AI Risk 49%
Robot Risk 49%

Food Servers, Nonrestaurant

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 47%

Fast Food and Counter Workers

AI Risk 46%
Robot Risk 38%

Food Preparation Workers

AI Risk 45%
Robot Risk 42%

Cooks, Private Household

AI Risk 44%
Robot Risk 45%

Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers

AI Risk 43%
Robot Risk 45%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

Technologies & Software

  • Menu planning software
  • ADP eTIME
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Google Sheets
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • Toast AI
  • Email software
  • Microsoft Word
  • ReServe Interactive
  • CostGuard
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • GroupMe
  • Facebook
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Internet browser software
  • Delphi Technology
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Food processors
  • Gas ovens
  • Laptop computers
  • Sieves
  • Personal computers
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Waffle makers
  • Sifters
  • Pizza ovens
  • Meat slicers
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Kitchen shears
  • Strainers
  • Apple corers
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Meat grinders
  • Woks
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Food smokers
  • Double boilers
  • Steam tables
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Melon ballers
  • Rotisserie units
  • Food shredders
  • Convection ovens
  • Cream whippers
  • Meat thermometers
  • Paring knives
  • Mixers
  • Mandolines
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Grills
  • Slicing machines
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Blast chillers
  • Boning knives
  • Garbage compactors
  • Electric stoves
  • Salamanders
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Broilers
  • Gas stoves
  • Box graters
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Pasta machines
  • Chefs' knives
  • Juice extractors
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Bone saws
  • Blenders
  • Electric ovens
  • Toasters
  • Juice dispensers
  • Braziers
  • Portion scales
  • Ice-making machines
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Parisian cutters
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Desktop computers
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Food dicers
  • Rice cookers
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Rolling pins
  • Oyster knives
  • Bread slicers
  • Fruit zesters
  • Plane graters
  • Steam kettles
  • Griddles

Alternative Job Titles