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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Head Pastry Chef” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #169 of 702. Estimated risk: 10.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

48%

“Head Pastry Chef” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 48% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

51%

“Head Pastry Chef” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Chefs and Head Cooks, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,720
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.11
Available Jobs (US) 182,320
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Chefs and Head Cooks #35-1011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Chefs and Head Cooks”

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Related Occupations & Automation Risk

First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

AI Risk 49%
Robot Risk 49%

Food Servers, Nonrestaurant

AI Risk 48%
Robot Risk 47%

Fast Food and Counter Workers

AI Risk 46%
Robot Risk 38%

Food Preparation Workers

AI Risk 45%
Robot Risk 42%

Cooks, Private Household

AI Risk 44%
Robot Risk 45%

Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers

AI Risk 43%
Robot Risk 45%

Core Skills & Abilities

  • Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.

  • Record production or operational data on specified forms.

  • Arrange for equipment purchases or repairs.

  • Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.

  • Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.

  • Check the quantity and quality of received products.

  • Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.

  • Check the quality of raw or cooked food products to ensure that standards are met.

  • Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.

  • Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.

  • Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.

  • Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff.

  • Order or requisition food or other supplies needed to ensure efficient operation.

  • Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.

  • Meet with sales representatives to negotiate prices or order supplies.

  • Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.

  • Meet with customers to discuss menus for special occasions, such as weddings, parties, or banquets.

  • Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.

  • Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.

  • Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.

  • Estimate amounts and costs of required supplies, such as food and ingredients.

Technologies & Software

  • Menu planning software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Culinary Software Services ChefTec
  • Axxya Systems Nutritionist Pro
  • IPro Restaurant Inventory, Recipe & Menu Software
  • Enggist & Grandjean EGS F&B Control
  • CostGuard
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Nutrition analysis software
  • Barrington Software CookenPro Commercial
  • SoftCafe MenuPro
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Delphi Technology
  • GroupMe
  • Email software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • ADP eTIME
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Facebook
  • GNOME Gnutrition
  • Flippy (Miso Robotics)
  • Toast AI
  • Sage MAS 90 ERP
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Google Sheets
  • Internet browser software
  • EGS CALCMENU
  • ReServe Interactive
  • Toasters
  • Personal computers
  • Rice cookers
  • Serrated blade knives
  • Rolling pins
  • Electric ovens
  • Double boilers
  • Commercial dishwashers
  • Sifters
  • Box graters
  • Infrared heat lamps
  • Griddles
  • Oyster knives
  • Apple corers
  • Boning knives
  • Bone saws
  • Broilers
  • Gas ovens
  • Commercial microwave ovens
  • Refrigerator thermometers
  • Garbage compactors
  • Ice shaving or crushing equipment
  • Kitchen fire extinguishers
  • Juice extractors
  • Salamanders
  • Conveyer ovens
  • Desktop computers
  • Strainers
  • Plane graters
  • Hot dog cookers
  • Convection ovens
  • Ice-making machines
  • Food dicers
  • Food processors
  • Dry or liquid measuring cups
  • Vegetable brushes
  • Food shredders
  • Waffle makers
  • Grills
  • Juice dispensers
  • Slicing machines
  • Parisian cutters
  • Blenders
  • Meat slicers
  • Commercial coffee grinders
  • Chefs' knives
  • Sieves
  • Melon ballers
  • Pressurized steam cookers
  • Cream whippers
  • Cappuccino makers
  • Fire suppression blankets
  • Pizza ovens
  • Steam tables
  • Steam kettles
  • Woks
  • Knife sharpeners
  • Blast chillers
  • Braziers
  • Electric stoves
  • Pasta machines
  • Kitchen tongs
  • Cake decorating tools
  • Mandolines
  • Bread slicers
  • Meat grinders
  • Meat thermometers
  • Vegetable peelers
  • Instant-read pocket thermometers
  • Commercial coffeemakers
  • Kitchen shears
  • Fruit zesters
  • Carbonated beverage dispensers
  • Electric deep-fat fryers
  • Gas stoves
  • Gas-powered deep-fat fryers
  • Laptop computers
  • Rotisserie units
  • Mixers
  • Paring knives
  • Portion scales
  • Food smokers

Alternative Job Titles