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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Aerial Crop Duster” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Aerial Crop Duster” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Aerial Crop Duster” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

Technologies & Software

  • CloudCompare
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Gatik AI
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Navzilla
  • Litchi
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • AeroPlanner
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Calibration software
  • DeepSeek
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Flight simulation software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • OpenDroneMap
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Mobileye AI
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • LP360
  • UgCS
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Airdata
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • DroneLogbook
  • Air data computers
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Multimeters
  • Battery chargers
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • De-icing equipment
  • Digital multimeters
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Reflective vests
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Autobrakes
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Tablet computers
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Personal computers
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Power generators
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Landing pad
  • Anti-skid systems
  • DroneDeploy
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Autopilot systems
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Simlat
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Hard hats
  • Handheld calculators
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Flight simulators
  • Desktop computers
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Anemometers
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Safety cones
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Power brake systems
  • Plotters
  • Fuel control systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Ground control targets
  • Laptop computers