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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Aerial Crop Duster” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Aerial Crop Duster” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Aerial Crop Duster” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

Technologies & Software

  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Calibration software
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Flight simulation software
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • UgCS
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Kitty Hawk
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • LP360
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • CloudCompare
  • Gatik AI
  • Airdata
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Llama (Meta)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Navzilla
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Mobileye AI
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • DeepSeek
  • AeroPlanner
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Litchi
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Reflective vests
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Air data computers
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Simlat
  • Ground control targets
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Laptop computers
  • Anemometers
  • DroneDeploy
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Oil filter pliers
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Hard hats
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Plotters
  • Power generators
  • Safety cones
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Battery chargers
  • Landing pad
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Digital multimeters
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Multimeters
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • De-icing equipment
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Personal computers
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Fuel control systems
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Handheld calculators
  • Power brake systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Desktop computers
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Tablet computers
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Autobrakes
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Vise grip pliers
  • DroneLogbook
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS