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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Aerial Crop Duster” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Aerial Crop Duster” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Aerial Crop Duster” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Supervise other crew members.

Technologies & Software

  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • AeroPlanner
  • LP360
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Gatik AI
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Flight simulation software
  • CloudCompare
  • UgCS
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Kitty Hawk
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Calibration software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • DeepSeek
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Airdata
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Aeronautical charts
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Navzilla
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Mobileye AI
  • Litchi
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Multimeters
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Power generators
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Power brake systems
  • Anemometers
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Battery chargers
  • Hard hats
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Personal computers
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Reflective vests
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • De-icing equipment
  • Flight simulators
  • Landing pad
  • Autopilot systems
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Simlat
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Air data computers
  • DJI GS Pro
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • DroneLogbook
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Ground control targets
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Handheld calculators
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Fuel control systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Desktop computers
  • Plotters
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Digital multimeters
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Safety cones
  • Tablet computers
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Laptop computers
  • Emergency exit slides
  • DroneDeploy
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Autobrakes
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers