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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Aerial Crop Duster” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Aerial Crop Duster” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Aerial Crop Duster” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

Technologies & Software

  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Gatik AI
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Aeronautical charts
  • LP360
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • AeroPlanner
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • UgCS
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • DeepSeek
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Airdata
  • Mobileye AI
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • CloudCompare
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Navzilla
  • Litchi
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Flight simulation software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Calibration software
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Battery chargers
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Laptop computers
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • De-icing equipment
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Multimeters
  • Safety cones
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Handheld calculators
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Hard hats
  • Power generators
  • Flight simulators
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Plotters
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Anemometers
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Tablet computers
  • Ground control targets
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Landing pad
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • DroneLogbook
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Digital multimeters
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Simlat
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Reflective vests
  • Autopilot systems
  • Personal computers
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • DroneDeploy
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Fuel control systems
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Air data computers
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Power brake systems