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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Line Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Line Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Line Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

Technologies & Software

  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Kitty Hawk
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Mobileye AI
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Gatik AI
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • LP360
  • Litchi
  • Calibration software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • UgCS
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • CloudCompare
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • DeepSeek
  • Airdata
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Navzilla
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Flight simulation software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • AeroPlanner
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Multimeters
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Power generators
  • Power brake systems
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Flight simulators
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Safety cones
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Handheld calculators
  • Desktop computers
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • DroneDeploy
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Hard hats
  • Fuel control systems
  • Simlat
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Digital multimeters
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Landing pad
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Battery chargers
  • Personal computers
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Emergency exit slides
  • DroneLogbook
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Laptop computers
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Tablet computers
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Ground control targets
  • De-icing equipment
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Autopilot systems
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Autobrakes
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Reflective vests
  • Air data computers
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Plotters
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Anemometers