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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Line Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Line Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Line Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

Technologies & Software

  • CloudCompare
  • Flight simulation software
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Navzilla
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Calibration software
  • UgCS
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Litchi
  • AeroPlanner
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • DeepSeek
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Gatik AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Mobileye AI
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Airdata
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • LP360
  • Fuel control systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Reflective vests
  • Safety cones
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Laptop computers
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • De-icing equipment
  • Flight director FD systems
  • DroneLogbook
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • DroneDeploy
  • Power generators
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Landing pad
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Air data computers
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Autopilot systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Personal computers
  • Handheld calculators
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Tablet computers
  • Anemometers
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Hard hats
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Power brake systems
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Ground control targets
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Simlat
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Plotters
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Multimeters
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Flight simulators
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Desktop computers
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Battery chargers
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Digital multimeters
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers