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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Balloon Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Balloon Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Balloon Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

Technologies & Software

  • UgCS
  • Litchi
  • Mobileye AI
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Calibration software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • DeepSeek
  • Airdata
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • AeroPlanner
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • LP360
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Gatik AI
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Navzilla
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Flight simulation software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • CloudCompare
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • DroneDeploy
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Power brake systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Power generators
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Multimeters
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Digital multimeters
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Plotters
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Autobrakes
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Flight simulators
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Laptop computers
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Anemometers
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Landing pad
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Oil filter pliers
  • DroneLogbook
  • Simlat
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Reflective vests
  • Handheld calculators
  • Safety cones
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Air data computers
  • Personal computers
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • De-icing equipment
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Autopilot systems
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Fuel control systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Battery chargers
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Tablet computers
  • Ground control targets
  • Hard hats
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems