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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Balloon Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Balloon Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Balloon Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

Technologies & Software

  • Gatik AI
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • AeroPlanner
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • DeepSeek
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Calibration software
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • CloudCompare
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Navzilla
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Mobileye AI
  • Litchi
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Flight simulation software
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • UgCS
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Airdata
  • Microsoft Office software
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • LP360
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Air data computers
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Simlat
  • Autobrakes
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Autopilot systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Fuel control systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • De-icing equipment
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Multimeters
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Power generators
  • Battery chargers
  • Tablet computers
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Personal computers
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Power brake systems
  • Hard hats
  • Safety cones
  • Landing pad
  • Digital multimeters
  • Handheld calculators
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Flight simulators
  • Plotters
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Anemometers
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Ground control targets
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Reflective vests
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • DroneDeploy
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Desktop computers
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Anti-skid systems
  • DroneLogbook
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Laptop computers
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Oil filter pliers