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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Balloon Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Balloon Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Balloon Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

Technologies & Software

  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Navzilla
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • LP360
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Aeronautical charts
  • AeroPlanner
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Calibration software
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • CloudCompare
  • Mobileye AI
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Litchi
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Gatik AI
  • DeepSeek
  • Flight simulation software
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • UgCS
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Airdata
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Simlat
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Emergency life rafts
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Channel lock pliers
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Power brake systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • DroneDeploy
  • DroneLogbook
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Landing pad
  • Flight simulators
  • Automatic landing systems
  • De-icing equipment
  • Air data computers
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Multimeters
  • Laptop computers
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Handheld calculators
  • Digital multimeters
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Hard hats
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Battery chargers
  • Power generators
  • Desktop computers
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Anemometers
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Autobrakes
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Reflective vests
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Personal computers
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Tablet computers
  • Plotters
  • Safety cones
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Ground control targets
  • DJI GS Pro