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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Balloonist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Balloonist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Balloonist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

Technologies & Software

  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Gatik AI
  • AeroPlanner
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Navzilla
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Llama (Meta)
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • CloudCompare
  • Calibration software
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Litchi
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Flight simulation software
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Mobileye AI
  • DeepSeek
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Airdata
  • UgCS
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • LP360
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Plotters
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Personal computers
  • Landing pad
  • Desktop computers
  • Fuel control systems
  • Anti-skid systems
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Tablet computers
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Laptop computers
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Battery chargers
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Power generators
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Power brake systems
  • Multimeters
  • Flight simulators
  • DroneDeploy
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Reflective vests
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • DroneLogbook
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Ground control targets
  • De-icing equipment
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Safety cones
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Automatic landing systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Autobrakes
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Handheld calculators
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Hard hats
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Simlat
  • Anemometers
  • Digital multimeters
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Air data computers