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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Balloonist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Balloonist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Balloonist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

Technologies & Software

  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • AeroPlanner
  • Flight simulation software
  • DeepSeek
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Aeronautical charts
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Calibration software
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • UgCS
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Gatik AI
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Airdata
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Mobileye AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • CloudCompare
  • Navzilla
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Litchi
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • LP360
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Autobrakes
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Multimeters
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Personal computers
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Tablet computers
  • Handheld calculators
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Battery chargers
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Landing pad
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Desktop computers
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Anemometers
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • DroneDeploy
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Power generators
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Ground control targets
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Hard hats
  • Plotters
  • Reflective vests
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Oil filter pliers
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • De-icing equipment
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Safety cones
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Digital multimeters
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • DroneLogbook
  • Air data computers
  • Power brake systems
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Laptop computers
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Simlat
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Flight simulators