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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Spray Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Spray Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Spray Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

Technologies & Software

  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • AeroPlanner
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • CloudCompare
  • Llama (Meta)
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Calibration software
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Navzilla
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • UgCS
  • Kitty Hawk
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Gatik AI
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Flight simulation software
  • DeepSeek
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Airdata
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Litchi
  • Mobileye AI
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • LP360
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Plotters
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Hard hats
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Battery chargers
  • DroneLogbook
  • Landing pad
  • Safety cones
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Fuel control systems
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Digital multimeters
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Laptop computers
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Reflective vests
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Personal computers
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Anemometers
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • De-icing equipment
  • Recirculation control systems
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Air data computers
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Tablet computers
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Autobrakes
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Multimeters
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Oil filter pliers
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Handheld calculators
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Power generators
  • Autopilot systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • DroneDeploy
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Power brake systems
  • Simlat
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Ground control targets