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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Spray Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Spray Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Spray Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

Technologies & Software

  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Flight simulation software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Gemini (Google)
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • LP360
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • UgCS
  • Mobileye AI
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Gatik AI
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Aeronautical charts
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Navzilla
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • AeroPlanner
  • Airdata
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Microsoft Office software
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Calibration software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • DeepSeek
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Grok (xAI)
  • CloudCompare
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Litchi
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Landing pad
  • Ground control targets
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Reflective vests
  • Power brake systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Desktop computers
  • DroneDeploy
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Air data computers
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Battery chargers
  • De-icing equipment
  • Safety cones
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Simlat
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Hard hats
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Multimeters
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Tablet computers
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Handheld calculators
  • Fuel control systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Autobrakes
  • Laptop computers
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Personal computers
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Plotters
  • Anemometers
  • Flight simulators
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Power generators
  • Digital multimeters
  • Autopilot systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • DroneLogbook
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems