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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Copilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Copilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Copilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

Technologies & Software

  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Airdata
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • OpenDroneMap
  • CloudCompare
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Llama (Meta)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Calibration software
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • DeepSeek
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Litchi
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Navzilla
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Mobileye AI
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • LP360
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Flight simulation software
  • UgCS
  • Gatik AI
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • AeroPlanner
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Anemometers
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Safety cones
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • De-icing equipment
  • Battery chargers
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Tablet computers
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Plotters
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Hard hats
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Landing pad
  • Air data computers
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Power brake systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • DroneLogbook
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Reflective vests
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Handheld calculators
  • Autobrakes
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Laptop computers
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Ground control targets
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • DroneDeploy
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Simlat
  • Digital multimeters
  • Personal computers
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Multimeters
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Power generators
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Fuel control systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA