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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Copilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Copilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Copilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

Technologies & Software

  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Flight simulation software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • AeroPlanner
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • DeepSeek
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • LP360
  • Litchi
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Airdata
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Gatik AI
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Calibration software
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Navzilla
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • UgCS
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Aeronautical charts
  • CloudCompare
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • DroneDeploy
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Ground control targets
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Hard hats
  • Power brake systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Desktop computers
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Power generators
  • Multimeters
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Landing pad
  • Flight simulators
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Simlat
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Safety cones
  • Autopilot systems
  • DroneLogbook
  • Reflective vests
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Laptop computers
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Tablet computers
  • Autobrakes
  • De-icing equipment
  • Personal computers
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Battery chargers
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Digital multimeters
  • Anemometers
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Plotters
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Air data computers
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Handheld calculators
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS