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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

Technologies & Software

  • UgCS
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Microsoft Office software
  • DeepSeek
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • CloudCompare
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • LP360
  • OpenDroneMap
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • AeroPlanner
  • Gatik AI
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Aeronautical charts
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Flight simulation software
  • Litchi
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Navzilla
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Airdata
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Calibration software
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Power brake systems
  • Handheld calculators
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Plotters
  • Hard hats
  • Simlat
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • DroneLogbook
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Power generators
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • De-icing equipment
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Reflective vests
  • DroneDeploy
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Air data computers
  • Landing pad
  • Battery chargers
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Digital multimeters
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Anemometers
  • Desktop computers
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Tablet computers
  • Laptop computers
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Ground control targets
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Multimeters
  • Safety cones
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Personal computers
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Autobrakes
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Air conditioning systems