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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

Technologies & Software

  • Calibration software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Litchi
  • Airdata
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • CloudCompare
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Flight simulation software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Kitty Hawk
  • DeepSeek
  • UgCS
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Gemini (Google)
  • OpenDroneMap
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Gatik AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • LP360
  • AeroPlanner
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Aeronautical charts
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Navzilla
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • DroneLogbook
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Landing pad
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Air data computers
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Ground control targets
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Digital multimeters
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Fuel control systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Autobrakes
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Hard hats
  • Battery chargers
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Desktop computers
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Safety cones
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Tablet computers
  • Reflective vests
  • Plotters
  • Yaw damper systems
  • De-icing equipment
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Laptop computers
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Simlat
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Power generators
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Anemometers
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Personal computers
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Handheld calculators
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Multimeters
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Power brake systems
  • DroneDeploy
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers