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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial Airplane Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Commercial Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Commercial Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

Technologies & Software

  • Mobileye AI
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Litchi
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Calibration software
  • Airdata
  • AeroPlanner
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Llama (Meta)
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • CloudCompare
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Flight simulation software
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Navzilla
  • Gatik AI
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Aeronautical charts
  • UgCS
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • LP360
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Kitty Hawk
  • DeepSeek
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Flight director FD systems
  • DroneDeploy
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Battery chargers
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Tablet computers
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Ground control targets
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Emergency exit slides
  • De-icing equipment
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Reflective vests
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Anemometers
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Safety cones
  • Landing pad
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Plotters
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Fuel control systems
  • Power brake systems
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Hard hats
  • Simlat
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Digital multimeters
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Recirculation control systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Laptop computers
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Flight simulators
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Autopilot systems
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Autobrakes
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Air data computers
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Power generators
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • DroneLogbook
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Multimeters
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Handheld calculators
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Personal computers