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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial Airplane Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Commercial Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Commercial Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

Technologies & Software

  • Tesla Autopilot
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Gemini (Google)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Microsoft Office software
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • AeroPlanner
  • Mobileye AI
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Litchi
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Calibration software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • UgCS
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Airdata
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • DeepSeek
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Gatik AI
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • OpenDroneMap
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • LP360
  • Navzilla
  • Flight simulation software
  • CloudCompare
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Hard hats
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Ground control targets
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Multimeters
  • Laptop computers
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Flight simulators
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Safety cones
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Handheld calculators
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Autopilot systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Air data computers
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Power generators
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • DroneLogbook
  • Digital multimeters
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Personal computers
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Desktop computers
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Tablet computers
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Landing pad
  • DroneDeploy
  • Plotters
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Fuel control systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Reflective vests
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Power brake systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Simlat
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Battery chargers
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Autobrakes
  • Anemometers
  • Emergency exit slides
  • De-icing equipment