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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Air Transport Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Air Transport Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Air Transport Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

Technologies & Software

  • DeepSeek
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Navzilla
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Aeronautical charts
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Calibration software
  • CloudCompare
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • OpenDroneMap
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Mobileye AI
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • LP360
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Flight simulation software
  • AeroPlanner
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • UgCS
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Airdata
  • Gatik AI
  • Litchi
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Autopilot systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Simlat
  • Fuel control systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Multimeters
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Handheld calculators
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Ground control targets
  • Power brake systems
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • DroneDeploy
  • Flight simulators
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Air data computers
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Landing pad
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Desktop computers
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Tablet computers
  • Personal computers
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Laptop computers
  • Plotters
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Digital multimeters
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Reflective vests
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • De-icing equipment
  • Safety cones
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Vise grip pliers
  • DroneLogbook
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Hard hats
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Power generators
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Battery chargers
  • Anemometers
  • Air pressurization systems