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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Crop Duster” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Crop Duster” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Crop Duster” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

Technologies & Software

  • Gemini (Google)
  • Mobileye AI
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Aeronautical charts
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • LP360
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Gatik AI
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Flight simulation software
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Litchi
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • AeroPlanner
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Airdata
  • Grok (xAI)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • CloudCompare
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • UgCS
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Navzilla
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Calibration software
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • DeepSeek
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Personal computers
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Simlat
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Multimeters
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Safety cones
  • Handheld calculators
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Desktop computers
  • De-icing equipment
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Power generators
  • Anemometers
  • Battery chargers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Plotters
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • DroneDeploy
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Reflective vests
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Laptop computers
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Tablet computers
  • Digital multimeters
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Power brake systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • DroneLogbook
  • Flight simulators
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Autobrakes
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Hard hats
  • Landing pad
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Air data computers
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Autopilot systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Ground control targets