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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Crop Duster” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Crop Duster” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Crop Duster” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

Technologies & Software

  • Gatik AI
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Airdata
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • DeepSeek
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • CloudCompare
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • AeroPlanner
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Mobileye AI
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Litchi
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Flight simulation software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Llama (Meta)
  • LP360
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Calibration software
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Navzilla
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Gemini (Google)
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Aeronautical charts
  • UgCS
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Multimeters
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Air data computers
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Flight simulators
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Anemometers
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Hard hats
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Laptop computers
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Battery chargers
  • Autopilot systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • DroneDeploy
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Power brake systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Digital multimeters
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Fuel control systems
  • Landing pad
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Autobrakes
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Power generators
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Handheld calculators
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Personal computers
  • Safety cones
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Simlat
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Ground control targets
  • Plotters
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • De-icing equipment
  • Reflective vests
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Tablet computers
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • DroneLogbook
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA