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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Crop Duster” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Crop Duster” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Crop Duster” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

Technologies & Software

  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Mobileye AI
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Gemini (Google)
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • LP360
  • OpenDroneMap
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • AeroPlanner
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Airdata
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Flight simulation software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Litchi
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Navzilla
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • CloudCompare
  • UgCS
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Gatik AI
  • Calibration software
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Kitty Hawk
  • DeepSeek
  • Simlat
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Anemometers
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • On-board intercom systems
  • DroneDeploy
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Desktop computers
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Safety cones
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Multimeters
  • Fuel control systems
  • Laptop computers
  • Handheld calculators
  • Flight simulators
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Power generators
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • De-icing equipment
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Air data computers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Hard hats
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Plotters
  • Battery chargers
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Power brake systems
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Digital multimeters
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Tablet computers
  • DroneLogbook
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Reflective vests
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Ground control targets
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Personal computers
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Landing pad
  • Autobrakes
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Transponder landing systems TLS