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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Commercial Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Commercial Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

Technologies & Software

  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Microsoft Office software
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Mobileye AI
  • AeroPlanner
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • CloudCompare
  • Navzilla
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Gatik AI
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Calibration software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Airdata
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Kitty Hawk
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • DeepSeek
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • LP360
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • UgCS
  • Litchi
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Flight simulation software
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Air pressurization systems
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Safety cones
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Handheld calculators
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Hard hats
  • Personal computers
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Plotters
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Power brake systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Reflective vests
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Landing pad
  • Recirculation control systems
  • DroneLogbook
  • Emergency life rafts
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • DroneDeploy
  • Ground control targets
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Autopilot systems
  • Air data computers
  • Battery chargers
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Digital multimeters
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Multimeters
  • Desktop computers
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Power generators
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Laptop computers
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Tablet computers
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Anemometers
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Simlat
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • De-icing equipment
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems