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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Commercial Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Commercial Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

Technologies & Software

  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Navzilla
  • AeroPlanner
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Airdata
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • DeepSeek
  • Gatik AI
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Litchi
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • CloudCompare
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Calibration software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Flight simulation software
  • UgCS
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • LP360
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Multimeters
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Personal computers
  • Handheld calculators
  • Desktop computers
  • Plotters
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Hard hats
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Ground control targets
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • DroneDeploy
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Autobrakes
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • DroneLogbook
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Digital multimeters
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Tablet computers
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Air data computers
  • Power brake systems
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Flight simulators
  • Power generators
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Landing pad
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • De-icing equipment
  • Battery chargers
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Simlat
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Reflective vests
  • Laptop computers
  • Safety cones
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Anemometers
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Fuel control systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Autopilot systems