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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Aviator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Aviator” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Aviator” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

Technologies & Software

  • Tesla Autopilot
  • AeroPlanner
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • CloudCompare
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • LP360
  • Kitty Hawk
  • UgCS
  • Navzilla
  • Litchi
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Mobileye AI
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Grok (xAI)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Aeronautical charts
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Calibration software
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Airdata
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Gatik AI
  • Llama (Meta)
  • DeepSeek
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Flight simulation software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • OpenDroneMap
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Vise grip pliers
  • De-icing equipment
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Oil filter pliers
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Safety cones
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Handheld calculators
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Battery chargers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Tablet computers
  • Desktop computers
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Multimeters
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Laptop computers
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Autobrakes
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Ground control targets
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Simlat
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Fuel control systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Air data computers
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • DroneLogbook
  • Power brake systems
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Personal computers
  • Digital multimeters
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Flight simulators
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Plotters
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Reflective vests
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Air pressurization systems
  • DroneDeploy
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Power generators
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Hard hats
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Anemometers
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Channel lock pliers
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Landing pad
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems