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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Aviator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Aviator” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Aviator” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

Technologies & Software

  • Grok (xAI)
  • UgCS
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Kitty Hawk
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • LP360
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Mobileye AI
  • Gatik AI
  • Calibration software
  • DeepSeek
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Litchi
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Airdata
  • CloudCompare
  • AeroPlanner
  • Flight simulation software
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Navzilla
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Battery chargers
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • De-icing equipment
  • Personal computers
  • Anemometers
  • Fuel control systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Digital multimeters
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Desktop computers
  • Multimeters
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Air data computers
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Ground control targets
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Tablet computers
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Simlat
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Reflective vests
  • DroneLogbook
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Handheld calculators
  • Plotters
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • DroneDeploy
  • Oil filter pliers
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Hard hats
  • Autopilot systems
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Landing pad
  • Power brake systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Laptop computers
  • Power generators
  • Safety cones
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Flight simulators