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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Aviator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Aviator” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Aviator” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

Technologies & Software

  • Grok (xAI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Microsoft Office software
  • OpenDroneMap
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Calibration software
  • Airdata
  • UgCS
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • DeepSeek
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Flight simulation software
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Navzilla
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Gatik AI
  • AeroPlanner
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Litchi
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • CloudCompare
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Mobileye AI
  • Llama (Meta)
  • LP360
  • Laptop computers
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Hard hats
  • Simlat
  • DroneDeploy
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Multimeters
  • Fuel control systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Automatic landing systems
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • DroneLogbook
  • Plotters
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Flight simulators
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Battery chargers
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Ground control targets
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Autopilot systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Anemometers
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Handheld calculators
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Personal computers
  • Desktop computers
  • Power brake systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Power generators
  • Tablet computers
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Digital multimeters
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Reflective vests
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Landing pad
  • De-icing equipment
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Safety cones
  • Air data computers
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Air conditioning systems