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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Transport Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Transport Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Transport Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

Technologies & Software

  • DeepSeek
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Flight simulation software
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • UgCS
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • LP360
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Navzilla
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Llama (Meta)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • CloudCompare
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Gatik AI
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Calibration software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • AeroPlanner
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Airdata
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Mobileye AI
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Litchi
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Air data computers
  • Power generators
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Personal computers
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • DroneLogbook
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Ground control targets
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Handheld calculators
  • Multimeters
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Plotters
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Digital multimeters
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Power brake systems
  • DroneDeploy
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • De-icing equipment
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Desktop computers
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Reflective vests
  • Simlat
  • Laptop computers
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Fuel control systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Anemometers
  • Battery chargers
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Hard hats
  • Autobrakes
  • Safety cones
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Landing pad
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Tablet computers
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS