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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Transport Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Transport Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Transport Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

Technologies & Software

  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Airdata
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • LP360
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • AeroPlanner
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • CloudCompare
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Calibration software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Gatik AI
  • UgCS
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Kitty Hawk
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Flight simulation software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Litchi
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • DeepSeek
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Navzilla
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Multimeters
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Landing pad
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • DroneDeploy
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • DroneLogbook
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Anemometers
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Reflective vests
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Power generators
  • Ground control targets
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • De-icing equipment
  • Digital multimeters
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Hard hats
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Simlat
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Flight simulators
  • Laptop computers
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Air data computers
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Autobrakes
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Power brake systems
  • Personal computers
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Battery chargers
  • Desktop computers
  • Safety cones
  • Plotters
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Tablet computers
  • Handheld calculators
  • Fuel control systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Oil filter wrenches