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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Transport Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Transport Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Transport Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

Technologies & Software

  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Navzilla
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Airdata
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Litchi
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • DeepSeek
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Flight simulation software
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • AeroPlanner
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Gatik AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Llama (Meta)
  • UgCS
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Calibration software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • LP360
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • CloudCompare
  • DroneLogbook
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Power generators
  • Digital multimeters
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • DroneDeploy
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Autobrakes
  • Air data computers
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Safety cones
  • Reflective vests
  • De-icing equipment
  • Battery chargers
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Landing pad
  • Multimeters
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Simlat
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Anemometers
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Power brake systems
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Tablet computers
  • Plotters
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Hard hats
  • Ground control targets
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Personal computers
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Laptop computers
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Vise grip pliers
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Handheld calculators
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Flight simulators
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Yaw damper systems