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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Test Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Test Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Test Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

Technologies & Software

  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Navzilla
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • LP360
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • AeroPlanner
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • DeepSeek
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • CloudCompare
  • Airdata
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Gatik AI
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Llama (Meta)
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Mobileye AI
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Flight simulation software
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Litchi
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Microsoft Office software
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Calibration software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • UgCS
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Power brake systems
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • On-board intercom systems
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Anemometers
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • De-icing equipment
  • Flight simulators
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • DroneDeploy
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Battery chargers
  • Autobrakes
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Ground control targets
  • Tablet computers
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Personal computers
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Safety cones
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Hard hats
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Reflective vests
  • Multimeters
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Air data computers
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Plotters
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • DroneLogbook
  • Laptop computers
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Power generators
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Landing pad
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Handheld calculators
  • Simlat
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Digital multimeters
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Airfield lighting equipment