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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Test Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Test Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Test Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

Technologies & Software

  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • AeroPlanner
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Gatik AI
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Calibration software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • CloudCompare
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • OpenDroneMap
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Airdata
  • LP360
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • DeepSeek
  • Litchi
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Flight simulation software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Navzilla
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • UgCS
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Personal computers
  • Tablet computers
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Air pressurization systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Reflective vests
  • Safety cones
  • Power brake systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Power generators
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Autopilot systems
  • Laptop computers
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Hard hats
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Plotters
  • Digital multimeters
  • Ground control targets
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Battery chargers
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Flight simulators
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • DroneLogbook
  • Anemometers
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Multimeters
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Desktop computers
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Handheld calculators
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Air data computers
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • De-icing equipment
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Simlat
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • DroneDeploy
  • Landing pad