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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airplane Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

Technologies & Software

  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Flight simulation software
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Aeronautical charts
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Calibration software
  • LP360
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Gatik AI
  • Litchi
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • DeepSeek
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Airdata
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • CloudCompare
  • Navzilla
  • AeroPlanner
  • OpenDroneMap
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Gemini (Google)
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Mobileye AI
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • UgCS
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Ground control targets
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Anemometers
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Simlat
  • Fuel control systems
  • Air data computers
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Air conditioning systems
  • DroneLogbook
  • Tablet computers
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • De-icing equipment
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Reflective vests
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Desktop computers
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Plotters
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Power brake systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Laptop computers
  • Autobrakes
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Safety cones
  • DroneDeploy
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Battery chargers
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Digital multimeters
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Personal computers
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Handheld calculators
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Hard hats
  • Autopilot systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Multimeters
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Landing pad
  • Power generators
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems