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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airplane Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

Technologies & Software

  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • OpenDroneMap
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Gatik AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • LP360
  • CloudCompare
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • UgCS
  • DeepSeek
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Mobileye AI
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Calibration software
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • AeroPlanner
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Airdata
  • Litchi
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Flight simulation software
  • Navzilla
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Power generators
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Reflective vests
  • Autobrakes
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Multimeters
  • Personal computers
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Autopilot systems
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Hard hats
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Landing pad
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • DroneDeploy
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Handheld calculators
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • De-icing equipment
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Fuel control systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Air data computers
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Anemometers
  • Simlat
  • Plotters
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • DroneLogbook
  • Ground control targets
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Tablet computers
  • Digital multimeters
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Battery chargers
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Laptop computers
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Safety cones
  • Power brake systems
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers