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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airplane Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

Technologies & Software

  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Gatik AI
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Flight simulation software
  • UgCS
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • AeroPlanner
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • CloudCompare
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • LP360
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Calibration software
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Litchi
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • DeepSeek
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Grok (xAI)
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Navzilla
  • Mobileye AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Airdata
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Reflective vests
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Power brake systems
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Anemometers
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Ground control targets
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • DroneDeploy
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Handheld calculators
  • Multimeters
  • Power generators
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Desktop computers
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Simlat
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Plotters
  • Air data computers
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Landing pad
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • De-icing equipment
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Personal computers
  • Digital multimeters
  • Flight simulators
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Flight director FD systems
  • DroneLogbook
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Hard hats
  • Tablet computers
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Laptop computers
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Battery chargers
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Safety cones
  • Autopilot systems