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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airplane Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Airplane Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

Technologies & Software

  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Airdata
  • AeroPlanner
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Navzilla
  • DeepSeek
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Calibration software
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • CloudCompare
  • Mobileye AI
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Flight simulation software
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Litchi
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Gatik AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • OpenDroneMap
  • LP360
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • UgCS
  • Laptop computers
  • Landing pad
  • Air data computers
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Simlat
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Oil filter pliers
  • De-icing equipment
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Personal computers
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Hard hats
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Plotters
  • Tablet computers
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Autopilot systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Safety cones
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Ground control targets
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Digital multimeters
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Flight simulators
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Anemometers
  • Fuel control systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Power brake systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Battery chargers
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Reflective vests
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Air pressurization systems
  • DroneLogbook
  • DroneDeploy
  • Autobrakes
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Handheld calculators
  • Power generators
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Multimeters
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Engine fire detection systems