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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “First Officer Pilot (FO Pilot)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“First Officer Pilot (FO Pilot)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“First Officer Pilot (FO Pilot)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

Technologies & Software

  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • CloudCompare
  • Flight simulation software
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Calibration software
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • OpenDroneMap
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Navzilla
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Aeronautical charts
  • UgCS
  • LP360
  • DeepSeek
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Airdata
  • Litchi
  • Grok (xAI)
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Gatik AI
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • AeroPlanner
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Multimeters
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Ground control targets
  • Simlat
  • Laptop computers
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Handheld calculators
  • Flight director FD systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Reflective vests
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Tablet computers
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Landing pad
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Anti-skid systems
  • DroneLogbook
  • Safety cones
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Fuel control systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Power generators
  • Power brake systems
  • Air data computers
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Plotters
  • Digital multimeters
  • Yaw damper systems
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • De-icing equipment
  • Battery chargers
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • DroneDeploy
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Personal computers
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Anemometers
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Hard hats
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Emergency exit slides