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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “First Officer Pilot (FO Pilot)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“First Officer Pilot (FO Pilot)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“First Officer Pilot (FO Pilot)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Office software
  • Navzilla
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • CloudCompare
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Litchi
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • UgCS
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Aeronautical charts
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Gatik AI
  • Airdata
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Flight simulation software
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Mobileye AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • LP360
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Calibration software
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • DeepSeek
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • AeroPlanner
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • DroneDeploy
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Tablet computers
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Reflective vests
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Personal computers
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Air data computers
  • Power generators
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Battery chargers
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Autobrakes
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Laptop computers
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Digital multimeters
  • Fuel control systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Desktop computers
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • DroneLogbook
  • Multimeters
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Autopilot systems
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Safety cones
  • Landing pad
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • De-icing equipment
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Anemometers
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Plotters
  • Ground control targets
  • Flight simulators
  • Handheld calculators
  • Simlat
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Power brake systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Hard hats
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Engine fire detection systems