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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Flyer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Flyer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Flyer” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

Technologies & Software

  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • CloudCompare
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • LP360
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • DeepSeek
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Litchi
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • UgCS
  • Gatik AI
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Mobileye AI
  • Kitty Hawk
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Flight simulation software
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • AeroPlanner
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Navzilla
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Calibration software
  • Airdata
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Laptop computers
  • Handheld calculators
  • Flight simulators
  • Tablet computers
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Simlat
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Battery chargers
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Flight director FD systems
  • De-icing equipment
  • Power generators
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Air data computers
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Multimeters
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Personal computers
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Plotters
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Hard hats
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • DroneDeploy
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Power brake systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Anemometers
  • Reflective vests
  • Safety cones
  • DroneLogbook
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Fuel control systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Landing pad
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Autopilot systems
  • Digital multimeters
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Ground control targets