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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Flyer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Flyer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Flyer” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

Technologies & Software

  • Litchi
  • UgCS
  • Grok (xAI)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Calibration software
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Kitty Hawk
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Airdata
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Flight simulation software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • CloudCompare
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Gatik AI
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • LP360
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • DeepSeek
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Gemini (Google)
  • AeroPlanner
  • Navzilla
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Mobileye AI
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Anemometers
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Hard hats
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Safety cones
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Digital multimeters
  • Air data computers
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Ground control targets
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Flight simulators
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Power brake systems
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Landing pad
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Multimeters
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Simlat
  • DroneLogbook
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Battery chargers
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Personal computers
  • De-icing equipment
  • Handheld calculators
  • DroneDeploy
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Reflective vests
  • Plotters
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Power generators
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Desktop computers
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Laptop computers
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Tablet computers
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Autopilot systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Fuel control systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers