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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Flyer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Flyer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Flyer” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

Technologies & Software

  • Llama (Meta)
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Aeronautical charts
  • LP360
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Airdata
  • AeroPlanner
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Flight simulation software
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Gatik AI
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Navzilla
  • Grok (xAI)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Litchi
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Calibration software
  • UgCS
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • DeepSeek
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • CloudCompare
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Power brake systems
  • Power generators
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Emergency exit slides
  • De-icing equipment
  • Personal computers
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Landing pad
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Handheld calculators
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Battery chargers
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • DroneLogbook
  • Flight simulators
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Ground control targets
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Simlat
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Multimeters
  • Digital multimeters
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • DroneDeploy
  • Air data computers
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Desktop computers
  • Hard hats
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Anemometers
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Tablet computers
  • Autopilot systems
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Safety cones
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Plotters
  • Reflective vests
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • DJI GS Pro
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Laptop computers
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Autobrakes
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI