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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Fixed Wing Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Fixed Wing Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Fixed Wing Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

Technologies & Software

  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Gemini (Google)
  • UgCS
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • LP360
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • OpenDroneMap
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Flight simulation software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Calibration software
  • Navzilla
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Litchi
  • CloudCompare
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Airdata
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • AeroPlanner
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Mobileye AI
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Gatik AI
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Laptop computers
  • Power brake systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Fuel control systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • DroneLogbook
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • DroneDeploy
  • Ground control targets
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Air data computers
  • Safety cones
  • Handheld calculators
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Simlat
  • Flight simulators
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Multimeters
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Digital multimeters
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Autobrakes
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Reflective vests
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Anemometers
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Desktop computers
  • Power generators
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Battery chargers
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Landing pad
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Plotters
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Hard hats
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Tablet computers
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • De-icing equipment
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Personal computers
  • Autopilot systems