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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Fixed Wing Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Fixed Wing Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Fixed Wing Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

Technologies & Software

  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Calibration software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • DeepSeek
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Airdata
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • UgCS
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Mobileye AI
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Gatik AI
  • AeroPlanner
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Litchi
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Flight simulation software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Grok (xAI)
  • CloudCompare
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Aeronautical charts
  • LP360
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Navzilla
  • Personal computers
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Laptop computers
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Ground control targets
  • De-icing equipment
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Safety cones
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • DroneDeploy
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Autobrakes
  • Handheld calculators
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Power generators
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Anti-skid systems
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Battery chargers
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Simlat
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Anemometers
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Reflective vests
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • DroneLogbook
  • Plotters
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Hard hats
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Digital multimeters
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Power brake systems
  • Landing pad
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Multimeters
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Tablet computers
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Air data computers
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Passenger oxygen control systems