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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Fixed Wing Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Fixed Wing Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Fixed Wing Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

Technologies & Software

  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Mobileye AI
  • DeepSeek
  • Gatik AI
  • CloudCompare
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Calibration software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Litchi
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • UgCS
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Airdata
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Navzilla
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Aeronautical charts
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Flight simulation software
  • AeroPlanner
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • LP360
  • Safety cones
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Air data computers
  • On-board intercom systems
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Tablet computers
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Digital multimeters
  • Ground control targets
  • DroneLogbook
  • Handheld calculators
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Power generators
  • Desktop computers
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Flight simulators
  • Hard hats
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Plotters
  • De-icing equipment
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Simlat
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Reflective vests
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Multimeters
  • DroneDeploy
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Laptop computers
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Anemometers
  • Landing pad
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Fuel control systems
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Battery chargers
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Personal computers
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Power brake systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Autobrakes
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Engine fire detection systems