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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Aviator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Aviator” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Aviator” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

Technologies & Software

  • Mobileye AI
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • DeepSeek
  • OpenDroneMap
  • LP360
  • Flight simulation software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • Grok (xAI)
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Calibration software
  • UgCS
  • CloudCompare
  • Litchi
  • AeroPlanner
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Airdata
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Navzilla
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Gatik AI
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Multimeters
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Hard hats
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Fuel control systems
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Channel lock pliers
  • DroneLogbook
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • Laptop computers
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Ground control targets
  • Battery chargers
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Handheld calculators
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Autopilot systems
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Digital multimeters
  • Reflective vests
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Tablet computers
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Power brake systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Safety cones
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Landing pad
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • De-icing equipment
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Personal computers
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Air data computers
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Simlat
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Power generators
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Autobrakes
  • Plotters
  • DroneDeploy
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Anemometers
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems