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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Aviator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Aviator” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Aviator” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

Technologies & Software

  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Calibration software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Flight simulation software
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Mobileye AI
  • UgCS
  • DeepSeek
  • Aeronautical charts
  • Gatik AI
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • CloudCompare
  • Airdata
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • LP360
  • AeroPlanner
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Navzilla
  • Gemini (Google)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Litchi
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • DroneDeploy
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Air data computers
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Anemometers
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Autopilot systems
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Fuel control systems
  • Handheld calculators
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Reflective vests
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Simlat
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Personal computers
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • Desktop computers
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Plotters
  • Power brake systems
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Ground control targets
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Power generators
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Channel lock pliers
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Laptop computers
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Autobrakes
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • De-icing equipment
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Landing pad
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Digital multimeters
  • Flight simulators
  • DroneLogbook
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Hard hats
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Yaw damper systems
  • Safety cones
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Battery chargers
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Tablet computers
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Multimeters
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Automatic landing systems