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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Executive Pilot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #314 of 702. Estimated risk: 55.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

59%

“Executive Pilot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 59% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

62%

“Executive Pilot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 62% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial Pilots, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,960
Available Jobs (US) 51,830
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial Pilots #53-2012
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial Pilots”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Rescue and evacuate injured persons.

  • Instruct other pilots and student pilots in aircraft operations.

  • Supervise other crew members.

  • Check baggage or cargo to ensure that it has been loaded correctly.

  • Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.

  • Use instrumentation to pilot aircraft when visibility is poor.

  • Request changes in altitudes or routes as circumstances dictate.

  • Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.

  • Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.

  • Write specified information in flight records, such as flight times, altitudes flown, and fuel consumption.

  • Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.

  • Perform minor aircraft maintenance and repair work, or arrange for major maintenance.

  • Start engines, operate controls, and pilot airplanes to transport passengers, mail, or freight according to flight plans, regulations, and procedures.

  • File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.

  • Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.

  • Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.

  • Contact control towers for takeoff clearances, arrival instructions, and other information, using radio equipment.

  • Teach company regulations and procedures to other pilots.

  • Fly with other pilots or pilot-license applicants to evaluate their proficiency.

  • Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.

  • Conduct in-flight tests and evaluations at specified altitudes and in all types of weather to determine the receptivity and other characteristics of equipment and systems.

  • Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

  • Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.

  • Co-pilot aircraft or perform captain's duties, as required.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Office software
  • AeroPlanner
  • UgCS
  • AirSmith FlightPrompt
  • Airline Pilots Daily Aviation Log PPC
  • Navzilla
  • doXstor Flight Level Logbook
  • RMS Technology Flitesoft
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • LP360
  • SBS International Maestro Suite
  • CloudCompare
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • ArduPilot Mission Planner
  • Pix4D Pix4Dcapture
  • OpenDroneMap
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Aeronautical charts
  • MJICCS PilotLog
  • Skylog Services Skylog Pro
  • Calibration software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • ESRI Site Scan for ArcGIS
  • Airdata
  • Pilot Navigator Software Load Balance
  • Litchi
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Notam Development Group Airport Insight
  • Polaris Microsystems AeroLog Pro
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Kitty Hawk
  • Polaris Microsystems CharterLog
  • DeepSeek
  • FLIR Thermal Studio Suite
  • Standard generalized markup language SGML
  • Gatik AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Nimblefeet Technologies Captain's Keeper
  • Pix4D Pix4Dmapper
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Flight simulation software
  • Electronic aircraft information databases
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Landing pad
  • Autopilot systems
  • Air data computers
  • Airfield lighting equipment
  • Inertial navigation systems INS
  • Hard hats
  • Ground control targets
  • Stability augmentation systems SAS
  • High frequency HF radio communication systems
  • Fire suppression and control systems
  • Oil filter pliers
  • Pneumatic emergency brake systems
  • Safety cones
  • Power generators
  • Air conditioning systems
  • Spectrum analyzers
  • Recirculation control systems
  • Multi-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Handheld calculators
  • Ground proximity warning systems GPWS
  • On-board intercom systems
  • Cockpit displays of traffic information CDTI
  • Equipment cooling controls
  • Desktop computers
  • Multimeters
  • Electronic flight instrument systems EFIS
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Battery chargers
  • Traffic alert and collision avoidance system TCAS
  • Local area augmentation system LAAS receivers
  • Anemometers
  • Digital multimeters
  • Head-up guidance systems HGS
  • Digital communications display units DCDU
  • Laptop computers
  • Microwave landing system MLS receivers
  • Anti-skid systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS receivers
  • Tablet computers
  • Flight management systems FMS
  • Emergency exit slides
  • Fuel control systems
  • Reflective vests
  • Global positioning system GPS devices
  • DJI GS Pro
  • Airborne collision avoidance systems ACAS
  • Autobrakes
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Continuous flow emergency oxygen systems
  • Vise grip pliers
  • DroneLogbook
  • Mechanical nose wheel steering systems
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Navigation mode selectors
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Wing anti-ice systems
  • Instrument landing system ILS localizers
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Engine fire extinguishing systems
  • Simlat
  • Emergency pressurization systems
  • De-icing equipment
  • Flight simulators
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Oil filter wrenches
  • Engine fire detection systems
  • Emergency life rafts
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Power brake systems
  • Personal computers
  • Plotters
  • DroneDeploy
  • Windscreen ice control systems
  • Air pressurization systems
  • Hydraulic landing gear systems
  • Engine indicating and crew alerting systems EICAS
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Power generation and distribution control systems
  • Flight director FD systems
  • Electro-hydraulic control systems
  • Passenger oxygen control systems
  • Very high frequency omnidirectional range VOR systems
  • Automatic landing systems
  • Fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicles UAV
  • Portable collision avoidance systems PCAS
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Engine anti-icing equipment
  • Yaw damper systems