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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial Plumber” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #249 of 702. Estimated risk: 35.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

44%

“Commercial Plumber” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 44% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

57%

“Commercial Plumber” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 57% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Assemble, install, alter, and repair pipelines or pipe systems that carry water, steam, air, or other liquids or gases. May install heating and cooling equipment and mechanical control systems. Includes sprinkler fitters.

Avg. Annual Salary $69,940
Avg. Hourly Wage $33.63
Available Jobs (US) 455,940
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters #47-2152
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Direct helpers engaged in pipe cutting, preassembly, or installation of plumbing systems or components.

  • Install automatic controls to regulate pipe systems.

  • Modify, clean, or maintain pipe systems, units, fittings, or related machines or equipment, using hand or power tools.

  • Inspect work sites for obstructions or holes that could cause structural weakness.

  • Anchor steel supports from ceiling joists to hold pipes in place.

  • Install fixtures, appliances, or equipment designed to reduce water or energy consumption.

  • Install green plumbing equipment, such as faucet flow restrictors, dual-flush or pressure-assisted flush toilets, or tankless hot water heaters.

  • Keep records of work assignments.

  • Weld small pipes or special piping, using specialized techniques, equipment, or materials, such as computer-assisted welding or microchip fabrication.

  • Cut openings in structures to accommodate pipes or pipe fittings, using hand or power tools.

  • Inspect, examine, or test installed systems or pipe lines, using pressure gauge, hydrostatic testing, observation, or other methods.

  • Plan pipe system layout, installation, or repair, according to specifications.

  • Fill pipes or plumbing fixtures with water or air and observe pressure gauges to detect and locate leaks.

  • Inspect structures to assess material or equipment needs, to establish the sequence of pipe installations, or to plan installation around obstructions, such as electrical wiring.

  • Review blueprints, building codes, or specifications to determine work details or procedures.

  • Repair hydraulic or air pumps.

  • Install pipe systems to support alternative energy-fueled systems, such as geothermal heating or cooling systems.

  • Attach pipes to walls, structures, or fixtures, such as radiators or tanks, using brackets, clamps, tools, or welding equipment.

  • Estimate time, material, or labor costs for use in project plans.

  • Cut, thread, or hammer pipes to specifications, using tools such as saws, cutting torches, pipe threaders, or pipe benders.

  • Select pipe sizes, types, or related materials, such as supports, hangers, or hydraulic cylinders, according to specifications.

  • Locate and mark the position of pipe installations, connections, passage holes, or fixtures in structures, using measuring instruments such as rulers or levels.

  • Maintain or repair plumbing by replacing defective washers, replacing or mending broken pipes, or opening clogged drains.

  • Assemble pipe sections, tubing, or fittings, using couplings, clamps, screws, bolts, cement, plastic solvent, caulking, or soldering, brazing, or welding equipment.

  • Install pipe assemblies, fittings, valves, appliances such as dishwashers or water heaters, or fixtures such as sinks or toilets, using hand or power tools.

  • Shut off steam, water, or other gases or liquids from pipe sections, using valve keys or wrenches.

  • Lay out full scale drawings of pipe systems, supports, or related equipment, according to blueprints.

  • Repair or remove and replace system components.

  • Install underground storm, sanitary, or water piping systems, extending piping as needed to connect fixtures and plumbing.

  • Operate motorized pumps to remove water from flooded manholes, basements, or facility floors.

Technologies & Software

  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • AEC Design Group CADPIPE
  • Quote Software QuoteExpress
  • Elite Software Sprinkler CAD
  • Microsoft Word
  • Bentley Systems AutoPIPE
  • Maintenance management software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Database software
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Internet browser software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Piping construction costs estimation software
  • Vision InfoSoft Plumbing Bid Manager
  • Heat loss calculation software
  • FastEST software
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • PipingOffice
  • Elite Software Spipe
  • Estimating software
  • Word processing software
  • Wintac Pro
  • Watter Hammer Software Hytran
  • Autodesk Building Systems
  • FastEST FastPipe
  • KRS Enterprises Service First!
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Quicken
  • ViziFlow
  • Horizon Engineering Sigma Plumbing Calculator
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Elite Software Plumbing CAD
  • Elite Software HSYM
  • COADE CAESAR II
  • Insight Direct ServiceCEO
  • Buildots AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Procore AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Elite Software DPIPE
  • Klear Estimator
  • Pipepro Pipefitting
  • Elite Software FIRE
  • Email software
  • Bookkeeping software
  • PricePoint
  • Job costing software
  • Augers
  • Crowbars
  • Flow gauges
  • Metal hand saws
  • Flaring tools
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Hammers
  • Ladders
  • Air-acetylene torches
  • Pavement stompers
  • Pipe fabrication shears
  • Six-step faucet seat wrenches
  • Swaging tools
  • Chain tongs
  • Water jetters
  • Tuggers
  • Cold chisels
  • Centering head tools
  • Butane torches
  • Tube crimping tools
  • Copper cutting machines
  • Telescopic inspection mirrors
  • Right-angle drills
  • Pipe bending tools
  • Two way radios
  • Hacksaws
  • Allen wrenches
  • Inductive clamps
  • Moisture meters
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Manual ratchet threader sets
  • Thread repair files
  • Offset pipe wrenches
  • Laser alignment tools
  • Propane torches
  • Desktop computers
  • Pipe flange aligners
  • Oilers
  • Pipe threaders
  • Telescoping basin wrenches
  • Transmitters
  • Metal cutting dies
  • Water pump pliers
  • Notebook computers
  • Generators
  • Comprehensive water gauges
  • Welders
  • Polyvinyl chloride PVC saws
  • Truck cranes
  • Lathes
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Root ranger jetter nozzles
  • Tirfors
  • Rebar locators
  • Soil pipe cutters
  • Ratcheting polyvinyl chloride PVC cutters
  • Laser levels
  • Bench chain vises
  • Torch cutter guides
  • Cleanout plug wrenches
  • Magnetic locators
  • Sewer tapes
  • Amp meters
  • Combination squares
  • Drill presses
  • Rasps
  • Bolt cutters
  • Hollow core socket wrenches
  • Adjustable slip lock nut wrenches
  • Chain falls
  • Angle air grinders
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Spud wrenches
  • End pipe wrenches
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Pipe flaring tools
  • Rapwrenches
  • Material-hoisting slings
  • Shears
  • Two-hole pins
  • Heat guns
  • Brazing equipment
  • Levels
  • Three-way pipe threaders
  • One stop wrenches
  • Faucet handle pullers
  • Pipe welding vises
  • Shut-off keys
  • Staple guns
  • Null locators
  • Tube bending springs
  • Bandsaws
  • Flat blade screwdrivers
  • Inner/outer reamers
  • Mini hacksaws
  • Air operated grinders
  • Deburring tools
  • Heavy duty drain cleaning machines
  • Locking pliers
  • Claw hammers
  • Impact hammers
  • Polyvinyl chloride PVC cutters
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Monkey wrench sets
  • Power pipe threading machines
  • Vertical bandsaws
  • Bibb seat tools
  • Non-contact infrared thermometers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Stands
  • Caulking guns
  • Leak-testing gauges
  • Water heater element removal wrenches
  • Pneumatic wire brushes
  • Plungers
  • Vibration analyzers
  • Tristand chain vises
  • Tripod vises
  • Plasma cutting guides
  • Bench yoke vises
  • Wide roll pipe cutters
  • Seat wrenches
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Skip loaders
  • Circular saws
  • Gas leak detection devices
  • Offset grinders
  • Pressure gauges
  • Hole cutting tools
  • Jam-proof ratchet threaders
  • Impact screwdrivers
  • Transit levels
  • Soldering equipment
  • Split bubble levels
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Personal computers
  • Receding threaders
  • Power spinners
  • Ratcheting box wrenches
  • Safety harnesses
  • Straight-fluted pipe reamers
  • Trenchers
  • Sewage pumps
  • Ohmmeters
  • Plastic nut basin wrenches
  • Roll groovers
  • Water samplers
  • Shower valve socket wrenches
  • Four-in-one keys
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Dump trucks
  • Portable grinders
  • Tapping tools
  • Pop-up plug wrenches
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Rodders
  • Spiral ratchet pipe reamers
  • Pipe freezing kits
  • Acetylene torches
  • Internal wrenches
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Basin wrenches
  • Screwdrivers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Water stoppers
  • Straight pipe wrenches
  • Power drills
  • Power hammers
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Hand tachometers
  • Hydraulic cranes
  • Compound leverage wrenches
  • Calipers
  • Magnetic circle layout tools
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Trutest smoke detectors
  • Backhoes
  • Radius markers
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Line locators
  • Quality control QC welders' gauges
  • Pit depth gauges
  • Air wire brushes
  • Utility pumps
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Toilet augers
  • Flat head screwdrivers
  • Drophead dies
  • Jackhammers
  • Drain cleaning cables
  • Water pumps
  • Welding hoods
  • Heavy duty water pressure gauges
  • Cutting torches
  • Pedestal grinders
  • Hydraulic valve turners
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Faucet stem and cartridge pullers
  • Automatic levels
  • Torpedo levels
  • Plumb bobs
  • Ultrasonic leak detectors
  • Cable saws
  • Mini tubing cutters
  • Pipe extractors
  • Pipeline jacks
  • Framing squares
  • Hex wrenches
  • Mud pumps
  • Chain wrenches
  • Pipe lasers
  • Pressurized water pigs
  • Tablet computers
  • Wire tracers
  • Hydrostatic testers
  • Impact wrenches
  • Pipe threading machines
  • Alternating current AC welding equipment
  • Nylon strap wrenches
  • Measuring tapes
  • Maximum reading water pressure gauges
  • Tub drain removers
  • Direct current DC arc welder
  • Threading machine die heads
  • Manlifts
  • No hub torque wrenches
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Box end wrenches
  • Winches
  • Manual pipe benders
  • Pipe bending mandrels
  • Pipe taps
  • Video diagnostic tools
  • Rotary hammers
  • Rubber strap wrenches
  • Loaders
  • Reamers
  • Pulleys
  • Pedestal sink wrenches
  • Pry bars
  • Forklifts
  • Basket strainer wrenches
  • Power pipe cutters
  • Pipe cutters
  • Pneumatic pipe bevelers
  • Air compressors
  • Universal nut wrenches
  • Direct tap machines
  • Stationary grinders
  • Strainer wrenches
  • Power sink machine drain cleaners
  • Stillson wrenches
  • Hand spinners
  • Portable welding machines
  • Tin snips
  • Power hacksaws
  • Gasket cutters
  • Pocket levels
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Plastic pipe/conduit die heads
  • Sump pumps
  • Explosimeters
  • Welding clamps
  • Air pressure gauges
  • Hole saws
  • Tubing cutters
  • Laser printers
  • Light pickup trucks
  • Pipe vises
  • Water meter keys
  • Dumpy levels
  • Utility knives
  • Seat dressers
  • Scaffolding
  • Sectional drain cleaning machines
  • Strap wrenches
  • Compression sleeve pullers
  • Hand hacksaws

Alternative Job Titles