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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial Plumber” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #249 of 702. Estimated risk: 35.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

44%

“Commercial Plumber” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 44% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

57%

“Commercial Plumber” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 57% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Assemble, install, alter, and repair pipelines or pipe systems that carry water, steam, air, or other liquids or gases. May install heating and cooling equipment and mechanical control systems. Includes sprinkler fitters.

Avg. Annual Salary $69,940
Avg. Hourly Wage $33.63
Available Jobs (US) 455,940
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters #47-2152
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Repair or remove and replace system components.

  • Review blueprints, building codes, or specifications to determine work details or procedures.

  • Modify, clean, or maintain pipe systems, units, fittings, or related machines or equipment, using hand or power tools.

  • Operate motorized pumps to remove water from flooded manholes, basements, or facility floors.

  • Install fixtures, appliances, or equipment designed to reduce water or energy consumption.

  • Install underground storm, sanitary, or water piping systems, extending piping as needed to connect fixtures and plumbing.

  • Cut, thread, or hammer pipes to specifications, using tools such as saws, cutting torches, pipe threaders, or pipe benders.

  • Direct helpers engaged in pipe cutting, preassembly, or installation of plumbing systems or components.

  • Install automatic controls to regulate pipe systems.

  • Estimate time, material, or labor costs for use in project plans.

  • Fill pipes or plumbing fixtures with water or air and observe pressure gauges to detect and locate leaks.

  • Locate and mark the position of pipe installations, connections, passage holes, or fixtures in structures, using measuring instruments such as rulers or levels.

  • Inspect work sites for obstructions or holes that could cause structural weakness.

  • Install pipe assemblies, fittings, valves, appliances such as dishwashers or water heaters, or fixtures such as sinks or toilets, using hand or power tools.

  • Maintain or repair plumbing by replacing defective washers, replacing or mending broken pipes, or opening clogged drains.

  • Lay out full scale drawings of pipe systems, supports, or related equipment, according to blueprints.

  • Inspect structures to assess material or equipment needs, to establish the sequence of pipe installations, or to plan installation around obstructions, such as electrical wiring.

  • Cut openings in structures to accommodate pipes or pipe fittings, using hand or power tools.

  • Inspect, examine, or test installed systems or pipe lines, using pressure gauge, hydrostatic testing, observation, or other methods.

  • Repair hydraulic or air pumps.

  • Install green plumbing equipment, such as faucet flow restrictors, dual-flush or pressure-assisted flush toilets, or tankless hot water heaters.

  • Keep records of work assignments.

  • Attach pipes to walls, structures, or fixtures, such as radiators or tanks, using brackets, clamps, tools, or welding equipment.

  • Weld small pipes or special piping, using specialized techniques, equipment, or materials, such as computer-assisted welding or microchip fabrication.

  • Select pipe sizes, types, or related materials, such as supports, hangers, or hydraulic cylinders, according to specifications.

  • Plan pipe system layout, installation, or repair, according to specifications.

  • Shut off steam, water, or other gases or liquids from pipe sections, using valve keys or wrenches.

  • Assemble pipe sections, tubing, or fittings, using couplings, clamps, screws, bolts, cement, plastic solvent, caulking, or soldering, brazing, or welding equipment.

  • Anchor steel supports from ceiling joists to hold pipes in place.

  • Install pipe systems to support alternative energy-fueled systems, such as geothermal heating or cooling systems.

Technologies & Software

  • Spreadsheet software
  • Elite Software Plumbing CAD
  • Internet browser software
  • Klear Estimator
  • Vision InfoSoft Plumbing Bid Manager
  • FastEST FastPipe
  • Elite Software Sprinkler CAD
  • PricePoint
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Elite Software DPIPE
  • Bookkeeping software
  • AEC Design Group CADPIPE
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • FastEST software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Bentley Systems AutoPIPE
  • Elite Software HSYM
  • COADE CAESAR II
  • Wintac Pro
  • Elite Software Spipe
  • Quote Software QuoteExpress
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • KRS Enterprises Service First!
  • Procore AI
  • PipingOffice
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Piping construction costs estimation software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Quicken
  • Job costing software
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Horizon Engineering Sigma Plumbing Calculator
  • Autodesk Building Systems
  • Estimating software
  • ViziFlow
  • Maintenance management software
  • Database software
  • Elite Software FIRE
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Buildots AI
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Heat loss calculation software
  • Word processing software
  • Email software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Pipepro Pipefitting
  • Insight Direct ServiceCEO
  • Watter Hammer Software Hytran
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Magnetic locators
  • Hex wrenches
  • Tristand chain vises
  • Wire tracers
  • Three-way pipe threaders
  • Nylon strap wrenches
  • Direct current DC arc welder
  • Laser alignment tools
  • Caulking guns
  • Pipe flange aligners
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Power spinners
  • Welding clamps
  • Bandsaws
  • Root ranger jetter nozzles
  • Impact wrenches
  • Four-in-one keys
  • Allen wrenches
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Water pump pliers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Pedestal sink wrenches
  • Air-acetylene torches
  • Tapping tools
  • Pop-up plug wrenches
  • Calipers
  • Tirfors
  • Plastic pipe/conduit die heads
  • Adjustable slip lock nut wrenches
  • Inner/outer reamers
  • Pipe vises
  • Crowbars
  • Pressurized water pigs
  • Copper cutting machines
  • Ratcheting box wrenches
  • Dump trucks
  • Shears
  • Hand spinners
  • Generators
  • Desktop computers
  • Flaring tools
  • Rotary hammers
  • Sectional drain cleaning machines
  • Manual ratchet threader sets
  • Rodders
  • Seat dressers
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Locking pliers
  • Portable welding machines
  • Offset grinders
  • Metal hand saws
  • Polyvinyl chloride PVC cutters
  • Safety harnesses
  • Water pumps
  • Pneumatic pipe bevelers
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Hydraulic valve turners
  • Trutest smoke detectors
  • Measuring tapes
  • Rapwrenches
  • Alternating current AC welding equipment
  • Jackhammers
  • Two-hole pins
  • Tin snips
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Power hammers
  • Material-hoisting slings
  • Water meter keys
  • One stop wrenches
  • Quality control QC welders' gauges
  • Radius markers
  • Internal wrenches
  • Six-step faucet seat wrenches
  • Jam-proof ratchet threaders
  • Laser levels
  • Flat blade screwdrivers
  • Pipe threaders
  • Scaffolding
  • Oilers
  • Rebar locators
  • Pedestal grinders
  • Spiral ratchet pipe reamers
  • Pipe extractors
  • End pipe wrenches
  • Strainer wrenches
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Air compressors
  • Telescopic inspection mirrors
  • Loaders
  • Bibb seat tools
  • Shower valve socket wrenches
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Pit depth gauges
  • Flat head screwdrivers
  • Acetylene torches
  • Moisture meters
  • Winches
  • Manual pipe benders
  • Lathes
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Welders
  • Explosimeters
  • Air wire brushes
  • Pipe threading machines
  • Pressure gauges
  • Right-angle drills
  • Utility pumps
  • Amp meters
  • Strap wrenches
  • Rasps
  • Chain tongs
  • Pulleys
  • Circular saws
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Cleanout plug wrenches
  • Heat guns
  • Heavy duty water pressure gauges
  • Hand tachometers
  • Mini tubing cutters
  • Trenchers
  • Tablet computers
  • Pipe lasers
  • Stillson wrenches
  • Automatic levels
  • Tube crimping tools
  • Utility knives
  • Transmitters
  • Monkey wrench sets
  • Vertical bandsaws
  • Augers
  • Comprehensive water gauges
  • Power drills
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Threading machine die heads
  • Water stoppers
  • Bench yoke vises
  • Mud pumps
  • Air operated grinders
  • Forklifts
  • Water heater element removal wrenches
  • Straight-fluted pipe reamers
  • Dumpy levels
  • Notebook computers
  • Box end wrenches
  • Gasket cutters
  • Faucet handle pullers
  • Metal cutting dies
  • Tripod vises
  • Toilet augers
  • Sewage pumps
  • Levels
  • Cutting torches
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Pipe freezing kits
  • Water samplers
  • Polyvinyl chloride PVC saws
  • Air pressure gauges
  • Hacksaws
  • Vibration analyzers
  • Sump pumps
  • Manlifts
  • Compound leverage wrenches
  • Skip loaders
  • Drill presses
  • Impact screwdrivers
  • Cable saws
  • Screwdrivers
  • Shut-off keys
  • Split bubble levels
  • Tub drain removers
  • Pipe bending tools
  • Light pickup trucks
  • Maximum reading water pressure gauges
  • Leak-testing gauges
  • Pry bars
  • Ladders
  • Plumb bobs
  • Reamers
  • Universal nut wrenches
  • Power pipe cutters
  • Ultrasonic leak detectors
  • No hub torque wrenches
  • Basket strainer wrenches
  • Pneumatic wire brushes
  • Power hacksaws
  • Compression sleeve pullers
  • Brazing equipment
  • Bench chain vises
  • Framing squares
  • Claw hammers
  • Soil pipe cutters
  • Gas leak detection devices
  • Hole saws
  • Spud wrenches
  • Plastic nut basin wrenches
  • Pipeline jacks
  • Laser printers
  • Torpedo levels
  • Torch cutter guides
  • Centering head tools
  • Offset pipe wrenches
  • Staple guns
  • Hollow core socket wrenches
  • Pipe bending mandrels
  • Welding hoods
  • Inductive clamps
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Straight pipe wrenches
  • Flow gauges
  • Chain wrenches
  • Video diagnostic tools
  • Telescoping basin wrenches
  • Non-contact infrared thermometers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Tube bending springs
  • Impact hammers
  • Stationary grinders
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Two way radios
  • Ohmmeters
  • Combination squares
  • Pipe taps
  • Receding threaders
  • Power sink machine drain cleaners
  • Thread repair files
  • Pavement stompers
  • Sewer tapes
  • Stands
  • Drain cleaning cables
  • Direct tap machines
  • Pocket levels
  • Line locators
  • Faucet stem and cartridge pullers
  • Ratcheting polyvinyl chloride PVC cutters
  • Mini hacksaws
  • Wide roll pipe cutters
  • Basin wrenches
  • Hole cutting tools
  • Backhoes
  • Personal computers
  • Tubing cutters
  • Soldering equipment
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Tuggers
  • Roll groovers
  • Transit levels
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Pipe cutters
  • Power pipe threading machines
  • Hammers
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Swaging tools
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Plasma cutting guides
  • Drophead dies
  • Water jetters
  • Butane torches
  • Cold chisels
  • Plungers
  • Pipe welding vises
  • Seat wrenches
  • Magnetic circle layout tools
  • Angle air grinders
  • Pipe fabrication shears
  • Hydrostatic testers
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Null locators
  • Truck cranes
  • Hydraulic cranes
  • Rubber strap wrenches
  • Chain falls
  • Heavy duty drain cleaning machines
  • Deburring tools
  • Pipe flaring tools
  • Propane torches
  • Portable grinders

Alternative Job Titles