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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial Plumber” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #249 of 702. Estimated risk: 35.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as unlikely to be automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

44%

“Commercial Plumber” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 44% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

57%

“Commercial Plumber” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 57% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Assemble, install, alter, and repair pipelines or pipe systems that carry water, steam, air, or other liquids or gases. May install heating and cooling equipment and mechanical control systems. Includes sprinkler fitters.

Avg. Annual Salary $69,940
Avg. Hourly Wage $33.63
Available Jobs (US) 455,940
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters #47-2152
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Cut, thread, or hammer pipes to specifications, using tools such as saws, cutting torches, pipe threaders, or pipe benders.

  • Install underground storm, sanitary, or water piping systems, extending piping as needed to connect fixtures and plumbing.

  • Select pipe sizes, types, or related materials, such as supports, hangers, or hydraulic cylinders, according to specifications.

  • Maintain or repair plumbing by replacing defective washers, replacing or mending broken pipes, or opening clogged drains.

  • Inspect structures to assess material or equipment needs, to establish the sequence of pipe installations, or to plan installation around obstructions, such as electrical wiring.

  • Fill pipes or plumbing fixtures with water or air and observe pressure gauges to detect and locate leaks.

  • Repair or remove and replace system components.

  • Shut off steam, water, or other gases or liquids from pipe sections, using valve keys or wrenches.

  • Anchor steel supports from ceiling joists to hold pipes in place.

  • Modify, clean, or maintain pipe systems, units, fittings, or related machines or equipment, using hand or power tools.

  • Cut openings in structures to accommodate pipes or pipe fittings, using hand or power tools.

  • Install automatic controls to regulate pipe systems.

  • Inspect work sites for obstructions or holes that could cause structural weakness.

  • Lay out full scale drawings of pipe systems, supports, or related equipment, according to blueprints.

  • Attach pipes to walls, structures, or fixtures, such as radiators or tanks, using brackets, clamps, tools, or welding equipment.

  • Direct helpers engaged in pipe cutting, preassembly, or installation of plumbing systems or components.

  • Estimate time, material, or labor costs for use in project plans.

  • Inspect, examine, or test installed systems or pipe lines, using pressure gauge, hydrostatic testing, observation, or other methods.

  • Install pipe systems to support alternative energy-fueled systems, such as geothermal heating or cooling systems.

  • Install fixtures, appliances, or equipment designed to reduce water or energy consumption.

  • Repair hydraulic or air pumps.

  • Keep records of work assignments.

  • Install green plumbing equipment, such as faucet flow restrictors, dual-flush or pressure-assisted flush toilets, or tankless hot water heaters.

  • Install pipe assemblies, fittings, valves, appliances such as dishwashers or water heaters, or fixtures such as sinks or toilets, using hand or power tools.

  • Assemble pipe sections, tubing, or fittings, using couplings, clamps, screws, bolts, cement, plastic solvent, caulking, or soldering, brazing, or welding equipment.

  • Locate and mark the position of pipe installations, connections, passage holes, or fixtures in structures, using measuring instruments such as rulers or levels.

  • Weld small pipes or special piping, using specialized techniques, equipment, or materials, such as computer-assisted welding or microchip fabrication.

  • Plan pipe system layout, installation, or repair, according to specifications.

  • Operate motorized pumps to remove water from flooded manholes, basements, or facility floors.

  • Review blueprints, building codes, or specifications to determine work details or procedures.

Technologies & Software

  • Watter Hammer Software Hytran
  • FastEST FastPipe
  • Elite Software DPIPE
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Autodesk Building Systems
  • Horizon Engineering Sigma Plumbing Calculator
  • Buildots AI
  • Elite Software HSYM
  • Elite Software Spipe
  • PricePoint
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Procore AI
  • KRS Enterprises Service First!
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Estimating software
  • Bentley Systems AutoPIPE
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Database software
  • Insight Direct ServiceCEO
  • Quicken
  • PipingOffice
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • AEC Design Group CADPIPE
  • Internet browser software
  • Elite Software Sprinkler CAD
  • Elite Software Plumbing CAD
  • Pipepro Pipefitting
  • Maintenance management software
  • Elite Software FIRE
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Word processing software
  • Wintac Pro
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Atlas Construction Business Forms
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Email software
  • Job costing software
  • COADE CAESAR II
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Bookkeeping software
  • Vision InfoSoft Plumbing Bid Manager
  • ViziFlow
  • Quote Software QuoteExpress
  • Piping construction costs estimation software
  • Klear Estimator
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • FastEST software
  • Heat loss calculation software
  • Hammers
  • Stationary grinders
  • Water meter keys
  • Jam-proof ratchet threaders
  • Mini hacksaws
  • Soil pipe cutters
  • Cold chisels
  • Two way radios
  • Pipe bending tools
  • Compound leverage wrenches
  • Tripod vises
  • Receding threaders
  • Comprehensive water gauges
  • Cutting torches
  • Ratcheting polyvinyl chloride PVC cutters
  • Four-in-one keys
  • Hacksaws
  • Air operated grinders
  • Thread repair files
  • Butane torches
  • Video diagnostic tools
  • Flaring tools
  • Sewage pumps
  • Laser printers
  • Angle air grinders
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Shower valve socket wrenches
  • Water jetters
  • Air compressors
  • Spud wrenches
  • Hole cutting tools
  • Allen wrenches
  • Tirfors
  • Tin snips
  • Trutest smoke detectors
  • Rapwrenches
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Tubing cutters
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Moisture meters
  • Forklifts
  • End pipe wrenches
  • Oilers
  • Heavy duty drain cleaning machines
  • Acetylene torches
  • Measuring tapes
  • Line locators
  • Ratcheting box wrenches
  • Heavy duty water pressure gauges
  • Explosimeters
  • Winches
  • Bench yoke vises
  • Vibration analyzers
  • Vacuum gauges
  • Hand spinners
  • Monkey wrench sets
  • Strap wrenches
  • Sewer tapes
  • Backhoes
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Water pressure gauges
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Leak-testing gauges
  • Tube crimping tools
  • Scaffolding
  • Rotary hammers
  • Roll groovers
  • Pipe extractors
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Rubber strap wrenches
  • Water samplers
  • Power hammers
  • Ohmmeters
  • Chain wrenches
  • Faucet stem and cartridge pullers
  • Stands
  • Spiral ratchet pipe reamers
  • Faucet handle pullers
  • Inner/outer reamers
  • Magnetic circle layout tools
  • Manual ratchet threader sets
  • Flat head screwdrivers
  • Vertical bandsaws
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Flat blade screwdrivers
  • Pipe lasers
  • Shears
  • Air-acetylene torches
  • One stop wrenches
  • Portable welding machines
  • Laser levels
  • Bibb seat tools
  • Screwdrivers
  • Centering head tools
  • Split bubble levels
  • Ladders
  • Caulking guns
  • Seat wrenches
  • No hub torque wrenches
  • Power hacksaws
  • Metal cutting dies
  • Inductive clamps
  • Alternating current AC welding equipment
  • Generators
  • Mud pumps
  • Pipe freezing kits
  • Pressurized water pigs
  • Seat dressers
  • Sectional drain cleaning machines
  • Dump trucks
  • Hand tachometers
  • Torpedo levels
  • Wide roll pipe cutters
  • Plumb bobs
  • Flow gauges
  • Impact wrenches
  • Polyvinyl chloride PVC saws
  • Pipe bending mandrels
  • Power drills
  • Power pipe threading machines
  • Plastic nut basin wrenches
  • Maximum reading water pressure gauges
  • Pipe taps
  • Pipe flange aligners
  • Straight pipe wrenches
  • Lathes
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Framing squares
  • Welding hoods
  • Augers
  • Cable saws
  • Hydraulic cranes
  • Crowbars
  • Air wire brushes
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Direct current DC arc welder
  • Notebook computers
  • Levels
  • Universal nut wrenches
  • Dumpy levels
  • Transit levels
  • Loaders
  • Pipe vises
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Non-contact infrared thermometers
  • Drophead dies
  • Light pickup trucks
  • Calipers
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Combination squares
  • Material-hoisting slings
  • Chain tongs
  • Telescoping basin wrenches
  • Shut-off keys
  • Heat guns
  • Threading machine die heads
  • Laser alignment tools
  • Hydraulic valve turners
  • Water pump pliers
  • Plungers
  • Stillson wrenches
  • Jackhammers
  • Soldering equipment
  • Rasps
  • Impact hammers
  • Strainer wrenches
  • Pneumatic wire brushes
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Welders
  • Air pressure gauges
  • Pedestal grinders
  • Drain cleaning cables
  • Transmitters
  • Hollow core socket wrenches
  • Hex wrenches
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Nylon strap wrenches
  • Direct tap machines
  • Brazing equipment
  • Safety harnesses
  • Claw hammers
  • Tub drain removers
  • Magnetic locators
  • Pipeline jacks
  • Power sink machine drain cleaners
  • Adjustable slip lock nut wrenches
  • Power spinners
  • Sump pumps
  • Skip loaders
  • Pry bars
  • Manlifts
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Tube bending springs
  • Hydrostatic testers
  • Toilet augers
  • Welding clamps
  • Offset grinders
  • Swaging tools
  • Plasma cutting guides
  • Internal wrenches
  • Pipe fabrication shears
  • Pipe cutters
  • Drill presses
  • Box end wrenches
  • Basket strainer wrenches
  • Manual pipe benders
  • Tuggers
  • Pocket levels
  • Trenchers
  • Pit depth gauges
  • Bench chain vises
  • Desktop computers
  • Wire tracers
  • Water stoppers
  • Water heater element removal wrenches
  • Gasket cutters
  • Copper cutting machines
  • Staple guns
  • Pedestal sink wrenches
  • Amp meters
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Pop-up plug wrenches
  • Reamers
  • Metal hand saws
  • Pressure gauges
  • Pipe threading machines
  • Tristand chain vises
  • Pneumatic pipe bevelers
  • Mini tubing cutters
  • Tablet computers
  • Plastic pipe/conduit die heads
  • Rodders
  • Two-hole pins
  • Utility pumps
  • Deburring tools
  • Pulleys
  • Telescopic inspection mirrors
  • Pavement stompers
  • Propane torches
  • Three-way pipe threaders
  • Circular saws
  • Radius markers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Pipe welding vises
  • Gas leak detection devices
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Pipe threaders
  • Rebar locators
  • Basin wrenches
  • Torch cutter guides
  • Offset pipe wrenches
  • Cleanout plug wrenches
  • Right-angle drills
  • Locking pliers
  • Straight-fluted pipe reamers
  • Power pipe cutters
  • Personal computers
  • Bandsaws
  • Utility knives
  • Polyvinyl chloride PVC cutters
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Six-step faucet seat wrenches
  • Pipe flaring tools
  • Truck cranes
  • Impact screwdrivers
  • Compression sleeve pullers
  • Root ranger jetter nozzles
  • Quality control QC welders' gauges
  • Chain falls
  • Portable grinders
  • Hand hacksaws
  • Tapping tools
  • Hole saws
  • Automatic levels
  • Water pumps
  • Ultrasonic leak detectors
  • Null locators

Alternative Job Titles