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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “CNC Lathe Machinist (Computer Numeric Controlled Lathe Machinist)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“CNC Lathe Machinist (Computer Numeric Controlled Lathe Machinist)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“CNC Lathe Machinist (Computer Numeric Controlled Lathe Machinist)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

Technologies & Software

  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • ERP software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • DeepSeek
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • JobBOSS
  • Microsoft Excel
  • 3D Printing software
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • JETCAM
  • Microsoft Word
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • OnShape
  • G-code
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • SAP software
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Siemens NX
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Microsoft Office software
  • EditCNC
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Plasma welders
  • Cylinder honers
  • Planers
  • Power drills
  • Half-round files
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • V blocks
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Sandblasters
  • Pipe threaders
  • Sledgehammers
  • Personal computers
  • Hand clamps
  • Shears
  • Combination pliers
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Brake presses
  • Combination wrenches
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Hacksaws
  • Milling vises
  • Forklifts
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Punches
  • Edge finders
  • Chamfer tools
  • Milling machines
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Undercut tools
  • Desktop computers
  • Dial calipers
  • Gauges
  • Reamers
  • Tongs
  • Radial drills
  • Swaging tools
  • Wedges
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Cold saws
  • Planer gauges
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Power sanders
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Sine bars
  • Turret lathes
  • Outside micrometers
  • Ladders
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Micrometers
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Tube benders
  • Composition hammers
  • Boring tools
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Arbor presses
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Hex wrenches
  • Aviation snips
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Hex keys
  • Metal shears
  • Jointers
  • Anvils
  • Platforms
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Inside micrometers
  • Cutoff saws
  • Pry bars
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Utility knives
  • Ratchet sets
  • Brass hammers
  • Horizontal mills
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Shapers
  • Square chisels
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Scribers
  • Broachers
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Chucks
  • Threading machines
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Surface gauges
  • Staging equipment
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Welding lenses
  • Engine lathes
  • Parallel blocks
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Center drills
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Calipers
  • Ring gauges
  • Breaker lathes
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Workshop cranes
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Chippers
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Hand saws
  • Radial drill presses
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Full face shields
  • Laser printers
  • Boring bars
  • Thread gauges
  • Deburring tools
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Putty knives
  • Shims
  • Steel wedges
  • Combination drills
  • Lathes
  • Flat files
  • Power hacksaws
  • Buffers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Feeler gauges
  • Spirit levels
  • Drum lathes
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Dial indicators
  • Prick punches
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Handheld welders
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Steel rules
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Welding shields
  • Brazing equipment
  • Grinders
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Angle plates
  • Knee mills
  • Bandsaws
  • Machinists' squares
  • Radius gauges
  • Vernier calipers
  • Soldering equipment
  • Cold chisels
  • Beverly shears
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Grinding dogs
  • Torches
  • Height gauges
  • Marking blocks
  • Rubber mallets
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Turning lathes